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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 6 · 2026Titans 26 · 20 Colts

141 plays, one strand. Titans won after 1 lead change; Titans peaked at 96% to win, Colts at 92%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for IND, down for TEN, as long as the yards it gained.

Bottom line1 lead change; Titans peaked at 96% to win, Colts at 92%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Colts win, play by play. High = IND in control, low = TEN in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for IND on offense, down for TEN; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Colts ↑Titans ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1INTTDINTFUMINTTDTDIND ↑ HOMETEN ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: TEN on the left, IND on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
TENIND
44Plays77
187Yards399
1Explosive plays6
1Offensive TDs2
1Turnovers3
96%Peak win prob.92%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
TENPunt43yINDINT77yTENPunt13yINDTD65yTENPunt9yINDFG70yTENINT0yINDFG20yINDFUM4yTENFG22yINDINT41yTENFG51yINDPunt5yTENTD28yINDPunt18yINDTD72yTENFG16yIND–8yTENFG5yIND–19y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.3 expected points for Colts.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 4:21 · IND · Completion

    17-D.Jones pass deep left to 80-D.Burks pushed ob at TEN 16 for 36 yards (38-T.Burgess). ** Injury Update: TEN-26-M.Harris has returned to t

    +3.3 EP
  2. 2
    Q1 2:44 · IND · Interception

    17-D.Jones pass short right intended for 2-J.Downs INTERCEPTED by 37-A.Hooker at TEN 6. 37-A.Hooker ran ob at TEN 6 for no gain. The Replay

    −3.9 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 2:00 · TEN · Interception

    1-C.Ward pass deep right intended for 4-W.Robinson INTERCEPTED by 0-C.Bynum [95-A.Adebawore] at IND 39. 0-C.Bynum to TEN 49 for 12 yards (20

    −4.0 EP
  4. 4
    Q3 14:56 · IND · Fumble lost

    28-J.Taylor right tackle to IND 32 for 4 yards (98-J.Simmons; 53-A.Hill). FUMBLES (98-J.Simmons), RECOVERED by TEN-98-J.Simmons at IND 33.

    −5.5 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 10:18 · IND · Completion

    17-D.Jones pass short right to 2-J.Downs to TEN 38 for 4 yards (26-M.Harris).

    +3.0 EP
  6. 6
    Q3 7:07 · IND · Interception

    17-D.Jones pass short left intended for 86-W.Mallory INTERCEPTED by 18-C.Flott at TEN 11. 18-C.Flott to TEN 11 for no gain (86-W.Mallory).

    −4.9 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 10:25 · IND · Punt

    8-R.Sanchez punt is BLOCKED by 36-J.Chestnut, Center-46-L.Rhodes, RECOVERED by TEN-7-O.Oladejo at IND 14. 7-O.Oladejo for 14 yards, TOUCHDOW

    −6.1 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 1:07 · IND · Incomplete

    17-D.Jones pass incomplete deep middle to 13-L.Treadwell (53-A.Hill).

    −3.2 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.

If the Colts had converted that fourth-and-17

Colts after the play4%what really happened
ColtsTitansthe rest never happened

Q4 1:07 17-D.Jones pass incomplete deep middle to 13-L.Treadwell (53-A.Hill).

Week 6

The rest of the week