Week 6 · 2026Titans 26 · 20 Colts
141 plays, one strand. Titans won after 1 lead change; Titans peaked at 96% to win, Colts at 92%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for IND, down for TEN, as long as the yards it gained.
↳Bottom line1 lead change; Titans peaked at 96% to win, Colts at 92%.
?How to read this chart
- Read it left to right:
- kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
- The white line
- is the chance that Colts win, play by play. High = IND in control, low = TEN in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
- Each little bar is one play:
- up for IND on offense, down for TEN; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
The strands compared
?How to read this chart
- Each row compares the two teams
- on one stat: TEN on the left, IND on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
- Explosive plays
- are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
Every possession
?How to read this chart
- Each tile is one possession,
- in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
- Inside:
- the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
The plays that moved it most
↳Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.3 expected points for Colts.
?How to read this chart
- The strip is the game clock;
- each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
- EP (expected points)
- is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
- 1Q1 4:21 · IND · Completion+3.3 EP
17-D.Jones pass deep left to 80-D.Burks pushed ob at TEN 16 for 36 yards (38-T.Burgess). ** Injury Update: TEN-26-M.Harris has returned to t
- 2Q1 2:44 · IND · Interception−3.9 EP
17-D.Jones pass short right intended for 2-J.Downs INTERCEPTED by 37-A.Hooker at TEN 6. 37-A.Hooker ran ob at TEN 6 for no gain. The Replay
- 3Q2 2:00 · TEN · Interception−4.0 EP
1-C.Ward pass deep right intended for 4-W.Robinson INTERCEPTED by 0-C.Bynum [95-A.Adebawore] at IND 39. 0-C.Bynum to TEN 49 for 12 yards (20
- 4Q3 14:56 · IND · Fumble lost−5.5 EP
28-J.Taylor right tackle to IND 32 for 4 yards (98-J.Simmons; 53-A.Hill). FUMBLES (98-J.Simmons), RECOVERED by TEN-98-J.Simmons at IND 33.
- 5Q3 10:18 · IND · Completion+3.0 EP
17-D.Jones pass short right to 2-J.Downs to TEN 38 for 4 yards (26-M.Harris).
- 6Q3 7:07 · IND · Interception−4.9 EP
17-D.Jones pass short left intended for 86-W.Mallory INTERCEPTED by 18-C.Flott at TEN 11. 18-C.Flott to TEN 11 for no gain (86-W.Mallory).
- 7Q4 10:25 · IND · Punt−6.1 EP
8-R.Sanchez punt is BLOCKED by 36-J.Chestnut, Center-46-L.Rhodes, RECOVERED by TEN-7-O.Oladejo at IND 14. 7-O.Oladejo for 14 yards, TOUCHDOW
- 8Q4 1:07 · IND · Incomplete−3.2 EP
17-D.Jones pass incomplete deep middle to 13-L.Treadwell (53-A.Hill).
The one play that could have changed it
?How to read this chart
- The line is win probability
- over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
- Press Flip it
- to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
If the Colts had converted that fourth-and-17
Q4 1:07 17-D.Jones pass incomplete deep middle to 13-L.Treadwell (53-A.Hill).