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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 6 · 2026Seahawks 14 · 17 Broncos

164 plays, one strand. Broncos won after 1 lead change; Seahawks peaked at 54% to win, Broncos at 95%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for DEN, down for SEA, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom line1 lead change; Seahawks peaked at 54% to win, Broncos at 95%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Broncos win, play by play. High = DEN in control, low = SEA in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for DEN on offense, down for SEA; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Broncos ↑Seahawks ↓
Q2Q3Q4OTQ1TDTDFUMTDINTINTDEN ↑ HOMESEA ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: SEA on the left, DEN on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
SEADEN
81Plays56
355Yards169
4Explosive plays1
1Offensive TDs2
3Turnovers0
54%Peak win prob.95%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
SEAPunt20yDENPunt2ySEAFG13yDENTD79ySEAPunt11yDENTD44ySEAFUM27yDENPunt4ySEAPunt20yDEN–1yDENPunt9ySEAFG ✕55yDENPunt4ySEAPunt13yDENPunt3ySEAPunt30yDENPunt23ySEATD68yDENPunt-10ySEAINT45yDENPunt2ySEAFG38ySEAINT15yDENFG8y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 2.9 expected points for Broncos.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 3:46 · DEN · Run

    28-T.Badie up the middle to SEA 42 for 6 yards (13-E.Jones).

    +2.9 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 2:34 · SEA · Fumble lost

    22-R.Shaheed left end to DEN 30 for 5 yards (15-N.Bonitto). FUMBLES (15-N.Bonitto), touched at DEN 33, RECOVERED by DEN-40-J.Strnad at DEN 3

    −4.1 EP
  3. 3
    Q3 12:04 · SEA · Completion

    14-S.Darnold pass short left to 11-J.Smith-Njigba pushed ob at SEA 30 for 15 yards (15-N.Bonitto).

    +2.6 EP
  4. 4
    Q3 10:52 · SEA · Completion

    14-S.Darnold pass deep right to 22-R.Shaheed to DEN 27 for 42 yards (23-J.Barron).

    +3.5 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 8:34 · SEA · Missed field goal

    5-J.Myers 47 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.

    −3.9 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 7:50 · SEA · Completion

    14-S.Darnold pass short left to 11-J.Smith-Njigba to DEN 32 for 7 yards (23-J.Barron).

    +3.2 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 1:31 · SEA · Interception

    14-S.Darnold pass short left intended for 15-T.Horton INTERCEPTED by 31-K.Abrams-Draine at DEN 31. 31-K.Abrams-Draine to DEN 31 for no gain

    −3.8 EP
  8. 8
    OT 7:17 · SEA · Interception

    14-S.Darnold pass short left intended for 22-R.Shaheed INTERCEPTED by 29-J.McMillian at SEA 43. 29-J.McMillian ran ob at SEA 43 for no gain.

    −3.0 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
14@17Week 6Changes the winner

If the 53-yard kick had missed

Seahawks after the play0%what really happened
BroncosSeahawksthe rest never happened

Q5 4:57 3-W.Lutz 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw. Penalty on SEA-13-E.Jones, Leverage, declined.

Week 6

The rest of the week

Every week →
Texans at Jaguars, Game DNA34@31Ravens at Browns, Game DNA10@13Panthers at Eagles, Game DNA25@14Bears at Falcons, Game DNA31@23Saints at Giants, Game DNA34@27Jets at Patriots, Game DNA19@26Steelers at Buccaneers, Game DNA26@19Titans at Colts, Game DNA26@20Cardinals at Rams, Game DNA18@16Bills at Raiders, Game DNA33@30Chargers at Chiefs, Game DNA6@22Cowboys at Packers, Game DNA13@23Commanders at 49ers, Game DNA17@23