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Week 10
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WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 6 · 2026Ravens 10 · 13 Browns

147 plays, one strand. Browns won without the lead ever changing hands; Ravens peaked at 86% to win, Browns at 79%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for CLE, down for BAL, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Ravens peaked at 86% to win, Browns at 79%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Browns win, play by play. High = CLE in control, low = BAL in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for CLE on offense, down for BAL; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Browns ↑Ravens ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDFUMTDCLE ↑ HOMEBAL ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: BAL on the left, CLE on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
BALCLE
57Plays60
235Yards237
3Explosive plays1
1Offensive TDs1
1Turnovers0
86%Peak win prob.79%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
BALTD66yCLEPunt-3yBALFG30yCLEPunt10yBALPunt20yCLEPunt17yBALPunt7yCLEPunt27yBALPunt29yCLEPunt-5yBALPunt11yCLEFG57yBALPunt20yCLEPunt4yBALFG ✕32yCLEPunt6yBALFUM5yCLETD31yBALPunt7yCLEFG ✕36yBALPunt8yCLEFG57y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 2.5 expected points against Ravens.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 8:56 · BAL · Run

    22-D.Henry right guard to CLE 2 for -1 yards (28-E.McNeil-Warren).

    −2.5 EP
  2. 2
    Q1 8:14 · BAL · Touchdown

    5-T.Huntley pass short middle to 85-J.Cuevas for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN [53-C.Williams].

    +3.9 EP
  3. 3
    Q1 7:22 · CLE · Sack

    4-D.Watson sacked at CLE 21 for -8 yards (93-C.Campbell).

    −2.6 EP
  4. 4
    Q1 6:33 · BAL · Completion

    5-T.Huntley pass short right to 85-J.Cuevas to CLE 32 for 29 yards (33-R.Hickman). PENALTY on CLE-96-M.Collins, Roughing the Passer, 15 yard

    +3.3 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 1:45 · BAL · Completion

    5-T.Huntley pass deep left to 4-Z.Flowers to CLE 30 for 31 yards (26-M.Harden).

    +3.6 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 14:18 · BAL · Missed field goal

    33-T.Loop 49 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-30-R.Eckley.

    −3.5 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 12:45 · BAL · Fumble lost

    22-D.Henry left tackle to BAL 33 for 5 yards (49-C.Schwesinger; 7-T.Campbell). FUMBLES (49-C.Schwesinger), RECOVERED by CLE-7-T.Campbell at

    −5.0 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 3:44 · CLE · Missed field goal

    25-A.Szmyt 48 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.

    −3.4 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
10@13Week 6Changes the winner

If the 37-yard kick at the gun had missed: overtime

Ravens after the play0%what really happened
BrownsRavensthe rest never happened

Q4 0:00 25-A.Szmyt 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.

Week 6

The rest of the week

Every week →
Seahawks at Broncos, Game DNA14@17Texans at Jaguars, Game DNA34@31Panthers at Eagles, Game DNA25@14Bears at Falcons, Game DNA31@23Saints at Giants, Game DNA34@27Jets at Patriots, Game DNA19@26Steelers at Buccaneers, Game DNA26@19Titans at Colts, Game DNA26@20Cardinals at Rams, Game DNA18@16Bills at Raiders, Game DNA33@30Chargers at Chiefs, Game DNA6@22Cowboys at Packers, Game DNA13@23Commanders at 49ers, Game DNA17@23