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142 plays, one strand. Texans won after 1 lead change; Texans peaked at 100% to win, Titans at 67%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for TEN, down for HOU, as long as the yards it gained.
↳Bottom line1 lead change; Texans peaked at 100% to win, Titans at 67%.
?How to read this chart
- Read it left to right:
- kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
- The white line
- is the chance that Titans win, play by play. High = TEN in control, low = HOU in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
- Each little bar is one play:
- up for TEN on offense, down for HOU; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Titans ↑
Texans ↓The strands compared
?How to read this chart
- Each row compares the two teams
- on one stat: HOU on the left, TEN on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
- Explosive plays
- are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
Every possession
?How to read this chart
- Each tile is one possession,
- in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
- Inside:
- the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
The plays that moved it most
↳Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 5.5 expected points against Titans.
?How to read this chart
- The strip is the game clock;
- each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
- EP (expected points)
- is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
- 1Q1 1:49 · TEN · Fumble lost−5.5 EP
2-T.Spears left tackle to TEN 37 for -1 yards (94-D.Robinson). FUMBLES (94-D.Robinson), RECOVERED by HOU-5-J.Pitre at TEN 35.
- 2Q2 12:17 · TEN · Interception−5.8 EP
1-C.Ward pass short middle intended for 20-T.Pollard INTERCEPTED by 35-J.Hansen (55-D.Hunter) [55-D.Hunter] at HOU 40. 35-J.Hansen pushed ob
- 3Q2 1:20 · HOU · Field goal+1.9 EP
15-K.Fairbairn 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-38-K.Kroeger.
- 4Q3 11:53 · HOU · Completion+3.2 EP
7-C.Stroud pass deep right to 14-K.Boutte pushed ob at TEN 41 for 23 yards.
- 5Q4 14:17 · HOU · Touchdown+3.2 EP
7-C.Stroud pass short left to 13-J.Noel for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- 6Q4 8:57 · TEN · Sack−2.8 EP
1-C.Ward sacked at TEN 43 for -14 yards (51-W.Anderson).
- 7Q4 6:43 · HOU · Sack−2.6 EP
7-C.Stroud sacked at TEN 40 for -11 yards (57-J.Martin).
- 8Q4 0:24 · TEN · Sack−2.4 EP
1-C.Ward sacked at TEN 35 for -13 yards (51-W.Anderson).
The one play that could have changed it
?How to read this chart
- The line is win probability
- over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
- Press Flip it
- to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
If the 53-yard kick had missed
Q2 1:20 15-K.Fairbairn 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-38-K.Kroeger.
24@16
17@19
31@24
17@45
27@27
7@31
32@29
