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Week 10
Latest
InjuryChig Okonkwo: Questionable → Active16 min agoInjuryCarl Granderson: Active → Cleared31 min agoInjuryCharlie Jones: Questionable → Active31 min agoLas Vegas RaidersFernando Mendoza named Raiders' starting quarterbackCleveland BrownsBrowns announce unofficial depth chart for Week 10 vs. the TexansPro Football RumorsVikings Had Interest In Justin Herbert, Daniel Jones, Geno SmithLos Angeles RamsFirst Look: Rams take on Cardinals in Arizona in Week 10 riding three-game win streakESPNCommanders stand pat at trade deadlineSeattle SeahawksHow To Watch, Listen And Follow Seahawks at Raiders In Week 10 On Sunday, November 15ESPNGiants' Nabers calls Fox analyst Olsen's body language critique a 'lie'ESPNFalcons trade center Ryan Neuzil to Ravens for guard Andrew Vorhees, pickVikings DeskVikings lose by 17 and the snaps say it should have been worse1 h agoLas Vegas RaidersRaiders acquire 2027 third-round draft pick in exchange for QB Kirk CousinsLas Vegas RaidersJohn Spytek and Klint Kubiak to hold press conference following NFL trade deadlineESPNNFL trade deadline grades: Deals for Kirk Cousins, Josh Downs, Daiyan HenleyPhiladelphia EaglesEagles waive RB Jaydon BlueCleveland BrownsBrowns sign TE Zaire Mitchell-Paden and P Wes Pahl to the practice squadInjuryCam Skattebo: Active → Out2 h agoInjuryJ.J. McCarthy: Active → Questionable2 h agoSan Francisco 49ers49ers Place DL Gracen Halton on Injured ReserveGiants DeskJameis Winston's minus-0.05 EPA per play meets a Commanders defense ranked 20th2 h agoInjuryJ.J. McCarthy: Questionable → Active2 h ago
WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 5 · 2026Bills 37 · 34 Rams

163 plays, one strand. Bills won after 6 lead changes; Bills peaked at 90% to win, Rams at 84%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for LAR, down for BUF, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom line6 lead changes; Bills peaked at 90% to win, Rams at 84%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Rams win, play by play. High = LAR in control, low = BUF in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for LAR on offense, down for BUF; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Rams ↑Bills ↓
Q2Q3Q4OTQ1TDTDINTTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFUMLAR ↑ HOMEBUF ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: BUF on the left, LAR on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
BUFLAR
58Plays79
438Yards454
12Explosive plays6
4Offensive TDs5
2Turnovers0
90%Peak win prob.84%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
BUFFG-5yLARFG ✕53yBUFFG50yLARTD66yBUFTD74yLARPunt11yBUFINT9yLAR–13yLARTD48yBUFPunt4yLARPunt6yBUFTD53yLARTD83yBUFTD81yLARTD61yBUFTD76yLARTD63yBUFFUM61yLARFG ✕50yBUFFG35y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.4 expected points against Rams.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 5:40 · LAR · Missed field goal

    92-H.Mevis 50 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-42-E.Evans.

    −3.4 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 5:56 · BUF · Completion

    17-J.Allen pass short right to 26-T.Johnson pushed ob at LA 17 for 40 yards (0-B.Young).

    +3.0 EP
  3. 3
    Q3 11:50 · LAR · Completion

    9-M.Stafford pass short right to 89-T.Higbee to BUF 30 for 10 yards (24-C.Bishop).

    +3.8 EP
  4. 4
    Q3 5:11 · BUF · Completion

    17-J.Allen pass short left to 26-T.Johnson ran ob at LA 19 for 26 yards (3-K.Curl).

    +2.9 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 3:49 · BUF · Run

    17-J.Allen scrambles right end to LA 4 for 9 yards (5-K.Kinchens). PENALTY on LA-30-J.Wallace, Defensive Holding, 2 yards, enforced at LA 4.

    +2.8 EP
  6. 6
    OT 8:48 · BUF · Completion

    17-J.Allen pass short middle to 10-K.Shakir to LA 22 for 57 yards (5-K.Kinchens).

    +4.5 EP
  7. 7
    OT 8:00 · BUF · Fumble lost

    4-J.Cook up the middle to LA 22 for no gain (53-N.Landman). FUMBLES (53-N.Landman), RECOVERED by LA-99-A.Donald at LA 20.

    −5.8 EP
  8. 8
    OT 4:16 · LAR · Missed field goal

    92-H.Mevis 48 yard field goal is BLOCKED (15-G.Rousseau), Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-42-E.Evans.

    −3.7 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
37@34Week 5Changes the winner

If the 45-yard kick had missed

Rams after the play0%what really happened
RamsBillsthe rest never happened

Q5 2:00 16-T.Bass 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-39-T.Doman.

Week 5

The rest of the week

Every week →
Buccaneers at Cowboys, Game DNA24@16Eagles at Jaguars, Game DNA17@19Bengals at Dolphins, Game DNA31@24Browns at Jets, Game DNA12@17Texans at Titans, Game DNA26@3Colts at Steelers, Game DNA22@34Raiders at Patriots, Game DNA17@45Vikings at Saints, Game DNA23@13Giants at Commanders, Game DNA27@27Bears at Packers, Game DNA7@31Broncos at Chargers, Game DNA23@17Lions at Cardinals, Game DNA45@2149ers at Seahawks, Game DNA32@29Ravens at Falcons, Game DNA30@23