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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 5 · 2026Giants 27 · 27 Commanders

172 plays, one strand. A tie, without the lead ever changing hands; Giants peaked at 90% to win, Commanders at 96%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for WSH, down for NYG, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Giants peaked at 90% to win, Commanders at 96%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Commanders win, play by play. High = WSH in control, low = NYG in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for WSH on offense, down for NYG; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Commanders ↑Giants ↓
Q2Q3Q4OTQ1TDFUMTDTDTDTDTDFUMWSH ↑ HOMENYG ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: NYG on the left, WSH on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
NYGWSH
83Plays60
409Yards381
6Explosive plays8
3Offensive TDs3
2Turnovers0
90%Peak win prob.96%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
WSHTD69yNYGFG ✕32yWSHPunt-4yNYGPunt8yWSHPunt-8yNYGFG22yWSHFG73yNYGPunt-5yWSHPunt5yNYGFUM-6yWSHFG5yNYGFG ✕26yNYGFG35yWSHTD72yNYGTD59yWSHTD83yNYGTD75yWSHPunt-4yNYGTD72yWSHPunt19yNYGFG ✕24yWSHPunt18yNYGFUM67yWSH–53y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.7 expected points against Giants.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 7:15 · NYG · Missed field goal

    34-D.Zvada 50 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-58-B.Mann, Holder-15-J.Stout.

    −3.7 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 2:08 · NYG · Fumble lost

    19-J.Winston sacked at NYG 39 for -8 yards (45-K.Chaisson). FUMBLES (45-K.Chaisson), touched at NYG 39, RECOVERED by WAS-97-T.Settle at NYG

    −5.2 EP
  3. 3
    Q3 7:56 · WSH · Touchdown

    5-J.Daniels scrambles up the middle for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.7 EP
  4. 4
    Q3 5:33 · NYG · Completion

    19-J.Winston pass short right to 29-T.Tracy to WAS 22 for 21 yards (39-J.Reaves; 29-R.Douglas).

    +4.4 EP
  5. 5
    Q4 11:13 · WSH · Touchdown

    5-J.Daniels scrambles left tackle for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.4 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 7:24 · NYG · Touchdown

    19-J.Winston pass short middle to 9-I.Likely to WAS 1 for 16 yards (20-Q.Martin, 29-R.Douglas) [45-K.Chaisson]. FUMBLES (29-R.Douglas), RECO

    +4.5 EP
  7. 7
    OT 8:01 · NYG · Missed field goal

    34-D.Zvada 46 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-58-B.Mann, Holder-15-J.Stout.

    −3.6 EP
  8. 8
    OT 2:00 · NYG · Fumble lost

    44-C.Skattebo up the middle to WAS 24 for no gain (94-D.Payne; 52-S.Styles). FUMBLES (94-D.Payne), RECOVERED by WAS-96-S.Tuttle at WAS 23.

    −3.5 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
27@27Week 5Changes the winner

If the Giants had fallen on their own fumble

Giants after the play45%what really happened
CommandersGiantsthe rest never happened

Q5 2:00 44-C.Skattebo up the middle to WAS 24 for no gain (94-D.Payne; 52-S.Styles). FUMBLES (94-D.Payne), RECOVERED by WAS-96-S.Tuttle at WAS 23.

Week 5

The rest of the week

Every week →
Buccaneers at Cowboys, Game DNA24@16Eagles at Jaguars, Game DNA17@19Bengals at Dolphins, Game DNA31@24Browns at Jets, Game DNA12@17Texans at Titans, Game DNA26@3Colts at Steelers, Game DNA22@34Raiders at Patriots, Game DNA17@45Vikings at Saints, Game DNA23@13Bears at Packers, Game DNA7@31Broncos at Chargers, Game DNA23@17Lions at Cardinals, Game DNA45@2149ers at Seahawks, Game DNA32@29Ravens at Falcons, Game DNA30@23Bills at Rams, Game DNA37@34