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Week 10
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WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 5 · 2026Broncos 23 · 17 Chargers

148 plays, one strand. Broncos won after 2 lead changes; Broncos peaked at 95% to win, Chargers at 85%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for LAC, down for DEN, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom line2 lead changes; Broncos peaked at 95% to win, Chargers at 85%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Chargers win, play by play. High = LAC in control, low = DEN in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for LAC on offense, down for DEN; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Chargers ↑Broncos ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1FUMTDTDFUMTDTDFUMINTLAC ↑ HOMEDEN ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: DEN on the left, LAC on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
DENLAC
57Plays62
224Yards237
3Explosive plays3
2Offensive TDs2
1Turnovers3
95%Peak win prob.85%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
DENPunt29yLACFUM19yDENTD38yLACPunt19yDENPunt3yLACPunt3yDENPunt7yLACFG33yDENFG46yLACPunt0yDEN–6yLACTD93yDENPunt4yLACPunt5yDENFUM1yLACTD42yDENPunt4yLACPunt1yDENFG ✕3yLAC–9yDENTD35yLACFUM-9yDENFG22yLACINT4yDENFG26yLAC–18y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.1 expected points against Chargers.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 8:46 · LAC · Fumble lost

    10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 88-C.Kolar to LAC 36 for 19 yards (9-T.Hufanga). FUMBLES (9-T.Hufanga), touched at LAC 38, RECOVERED by DE

    −3.1 EP
  2. 2
    Q1 7:54 · DEN · Completion

    10-B.Nix pass deep left to 1-E.Engram pushed ob at LAC 5 for 34 yards (20-C.Hart).

    +3.1 EP
  3. 3
    Q3 13:12 · LAC · Completion

    10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 82-T.Wease to LAC 38 for 16 yards (29-J.McMillian).

    +3.0 EP
  4. 4
    Q3 1:15 · DEN · Fumble lost

    10-B.Nix scrambles up the middle to DEN 41 for 1 yard (90-A.Mesidor, 45-T.Tuipulotu). FUMBLES (45-T.Tuipulotu), RECOVERED by LAC-45-T.Tuipul

    −5.7 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 1:07 · LAC · Touchdown

    28-K.Vidal left tackle for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.6 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 12:08 · DEN · Missed field goal

    3-W.Lutz 42 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.

    −4.0 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 10:33 · LAC · Run

    10-J.Herbert right guard to LAC 41 for no gain (51-Q.Robinson).

    −3.9 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 8:06 · LAC · Fumble lost

    10-J.Herbert sacked at LAC 24 for -8 yards (99-Z.Allen). FUMBLES (99-Z.Allen) [99-Z.Allen], RECOVERED by DEN-51-Q.Robinson at LAC 23.

    −5.8 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
23@17Week 5

If the 36-yard kick had missed

Chargers after the play14%what really happened
ChargersBroncosthe rest never happened

Q4 1:12 3-W.Lutz 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.

Week 5

The rest of the week

Every week →
Buccaneers at Cowboys, Game DNA24@16Eagles at Jaguars, Game DNA17@19Bengals at Dolphins, Game DNA31@24Browns at Jets, Game DNA12@17Texans at Titans, Game DNA26@3Colts at Steelers, Game DNA22@34Raiders at Patriots, Game DNA17@45Vikings at Saints, Game DNA23@13Giants at Commanders, Game DNA27@27Bears at Packers, Game DNA7@31Lions at Cardinals, Game DNA45@2149ers at Seahawks, Game DNA32@29Ravens at Falcons, Game DNA30@23Bills at Rams, Game DNA37@34