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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 5 · 2026Vikings 23 · 13 Saints

127 plays, one strand. Vikings won after 2 lead changes; Vikings peaked at 100% to win, Saints at 76%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for NO, down for MIN, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom line2 lead changes; Vikings peaked at 100% to win, Saints at 76%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Saints win, play by play. High = NO in control, low = MIN in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for NO on offense, down for MIN; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Saints ↑Vikings ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1FUMTDTDINTFUMTDINTNO ↑ HOMEMIN ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: MIN on the left, NO on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
MINNO
64Plays43
367Yards142
6Explosive plays0
2Offensive TDs1
2Turnovers2
100%Peak win prob.76%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
MINFG56yNOPunt1yMINFUM63yNOTD71yMINPunt8yNOPunt5yMINPunt6yNOPunt7yMINFG33yMINTD37yNOINT26yMINFUM39yMINTD70yNOPunt2yMINFG31yNO–32yMINPunt8yNOINT-2yMIN–16y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 7.6 expected points against Vikings.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 0:50 · MIN · Fumble lost

    33-A.Jones up the middle to NO 7 for 3 yards (97-K.Boyd). FUMBLES (97-K.Boyd), RECOVERED by NO-99-C.Young at NO 7. 99-C.Young to NO 34 for 2

    −7.6 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 13:01 · NO · Completion

    6-T.Shough pass short right to 12-C.Olave to MIN 36 for 5 yards (51-B.Cashman).

    +2.7 EP
  3. 3
    Q3 14:06 · MIN · Run

    1-K.Murray scrambles right end ran ob at NO 19 for 18 yards (7-J.Sanker).

    +2.8 EP
  4. 4
    Q3 12:13 · MIN · Touchdown

    1-K.Murray pass short left to 18-J.Jefferson for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.0 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 7:45 · NO · Interception

    6-T.Shough pass short right intended for 18-B.Lance INTERCEPTED by 7-B.Murphy at MIN 49. 7-B.Murphy to NO 37 for 14 yards (6-T.Shough). Pena

    −5.0 EP
  6. 6
    Q3 5:59 · MIN · Completion

    1-K.Murray pass short left to 31-D.Dallas to NO 27 for 11 yards (20-P.Werner).

    +2.7 EP
  7. 7
    Q3 2:49 · MIN · Fumble lost

    1-K.Murray pass short left to 4-M.Price to NO 12 for 7 yards (22-M.Emerson; 20-P.Werner). FUMBLES (22-M.Emerson), RECOVERED by NO-7-J.Sanker

    −10.1 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 5:05 · NO · Completion

    6-T.Shough pass short right to 83-J.Johnson to MIN 38 for 6 yards (7-B.Murphy).

    −2.2 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
23@13Week 5

If the 55-yard kick had missed

Saints after the play9%what really happened
SaintsVikingsthe rest never happened

Q4 7:06 16-W.Reichard 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-19-B.Thorson.

Week 5

The rest of the week

Every week →
Buccaneers at Cowboys, Game DNA24@16Eagles at Jaguars, Game DNA17@19Bengals at Dolphins, Game DNA31@24Browns at Jets, Game DNA12@17Texans at Titans, Game DNA26@3Colts at Steelers, Game DNA22@34Raiders at Patriots, Game DNA17@45Giants at Commanders, Game DNA27@27Bears at Packers, Game DNA7@31Broncos at Chargers, Game DNA23@17Lions at Cardinals, Game DNA45@2149ers at Seahawks, Game DNA32@29Ravens at Falcons, Game DNA30@23Bills at Rams, Game DNA37@34