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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 5 · 2026Buccaneers 24 · 16 Cowboys

146 plays, one strand. Buccaneers won after 1 lead change; Buccaneers peaked at 99% to win, Cowboys at 71%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for DAL, down for TB, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom line1 lead change; Buccaneers peaked at 99% to win, Cowboys at 71%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Cowboys win, play by play. High = DAL in control, low = TB in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for DAL on offense, down for TB; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Cowboys ↑Buccaneers ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDTDINTTDTDINTDAL ↑ HOMETB ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: TB on the left, DAL on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
TBDAL
63Plays56
421Yards366
5Explosive plays6
3Offensive TDs2
0Turnovers2
99%Peak win prob.71%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
DALTD63yTBTD68yDALPunt12yTBPunt5yDALPunt12yTBPunt37yDALPunt0yTBPunt11yDALFG59yTB–34yTBTD86yDALINT41yTBTD85yTBFG19yDAL–18yTB–49yDALTD99yTBPunt7yDALINT62yTB–20y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 2.7 expected points for Cowboys.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q2 1:52 · DAL · Completion

    4-D.Prescott pass deep middle to 19-R.Flournoy to TB 39 for 48 yards (34-A.Anzalone; 23-T.Smith).

    +2.7 EP
  2. 2
    Q3 14:54 · TB · Run

    7-B.Irving left tackle pushed ob at DAL 14 for 72 yards (13-C.Downs).

    +4.8 EP
  3. 3
    Q3 10:51 · DAL · Interception

    4-D.Prescott pass short middle intended for 19-R.Flournoy INTERCEPTED by 0-Y.Diaby at TB 24. 0-Y.Diaby to TB 25 for 1 yard (56-C.Beebe; 52-T

    −4.8 EP
  4. 4
    Q3 9:36 · TB · Completion

    10-J.Daniels pass deep right to 15-T.Johnson pushed ob at DAL 15 for 64 yards (24-M.Hooker).

    +5.4 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 6:31 · TB · Completion

    10-J.Daniels pass deep left to 2-E.Egbuka to DAL 27 for 21 yards (26-D.Bland). The first down was assisted by replay.

    +3.6 EP
  6. 6
    Q3 1:49 · DAL · Incomplete

    4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 87-J.Ferguson.

    −3.0 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 8:36 · TB · Run

    44-S.Tucker up the middle to DAL 1 for no gain (55-J.Barham).

    −4.2 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 1:22 · DAL · Interception

    4-D.Prescott pass short middle intended for 87-J.Ferguson INTERCEPTED by 34-A.Anzalone at TB 12. 34-A.Anzalone to TB 12 for no gain.

    −4.4 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
24@16Week 5

If that interception had fallen incomplete

Cowboys after the play1%what really happened
CowboysBuccaneersthe rest never happened

Q4 1:22 4-D.Prescott pass short middle intended for 87-J.Ferguson INTERCEPTED by 34-A.Anzalone at TB 12. 34-A.Anzalone to TB 12 for no gain.

Week 5

The rest of the week

Every week →
Eagles at Jaguars, Game DNA17@19Bengals at Dolphins, Game DNA31@24Browns at Jets, Game DNA12@17Texans at Titans, Game DNA26@3Colts at Steelers, Game DNA22@34Raiders at Patriots, Game DNA17@45Vikings at Saints, Game DNA23@13Giants at Commanders, Game DNA27@27Bears at Packers, Game DNA7@31Broncos at Chargers, Game DNA23@17Lions at Cardinals, Game DNA45@2149ers at Seahawks, Game DNA32@29Ravens at Falcons, Game DNA30@23Bills at Rams, Game DNA37@34