The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 5 · 2026Bears 7 · 31 Packers

144 plays, one strand. Packers won without the lead ever changing hands; Bears peaked at 46% to win, Packers at 100%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for GB, down for CHI, as long as the yards it gained.

Game page Download poster (SVG)All games

Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Bears peaked at 46% to win, Packers at 100%.

How to read this chart

Read it left to right:: kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line: is the chance that Packers win, play by play. High = GB in control, low = CHI in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:: up for GB on offense, down for CHI; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).

Packers ↑

Bears ↓

win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete

Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart

Each row compares the two teams: on one stat: CHI on the left, GB on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays: are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.

CHIGB

68Plays58

246Yards432

3Explosive plays7

1Offensive TDs4

5Turnovers0

46%Peak win prob.100%

Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart

Each tile is one possession,: in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:: the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.

CHIPunt9yGBTD91yCHIINT0yGBTD45yCHIPunt4yGBPunt8yCHITD78yGBPunt9yCHIPunt0yGB–-9yGBTD82yCHIFG ✕42yGBPunt13yCHIPunt7yGBFG45yCHIINT13yGBTD57yCHIINT22yGBFG ✕57yCHIFUM35yGBFG ✕28yCHIFUM22yGBPunt6yCHI–14y

Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.6 expected points for Packers.

How to read this chart

The strip is the game clock;: each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points): is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.

12345678

1
Q1 5:57 · GB · Touchdown
10-J.Love pass deep left to 9-C.Watson for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+3.6 EP
2
Q1 5:39 · CHI · Interception
17-T.Bagent pass deep right intended for 10-L.Burden INTERCEPTED by 29-X.McKinney (7-J.Bullard) at CHI 45. 29-X.McKinney to CHI 45 for no ga
−3.6 EP
3
Q3 13:19 · GB · Touchdown
10-J.Love pass deep middle to 9-C.Watson for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+5.9 EP
4
Q3 8:40 · CHI · Missed field goal
8-C.Santos 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.
−4.1 EP
5
Q3 0:41 · CHI · Interception
17-T.Bagent pass short middle intended for 84-C.Loveland INTERCEPTED by 29-X.McKinney at GB 42. 29-X.McKinney to GB 45 for 3 yards (13-Z.Tho
−4.8 EP
6
Q4 12:58 · CHI · Interception
11-C.Keenum pass short middle intended for 15-R.Odunze INTERCEPTED by 59-T.Hopper [90-L.Van Ness] at GB -1. 59-T.Hopper to GB 19 for 20 yard
−3.4 EP
7
Q4 9:50 · GB · Missed field goal
28-T.Smack 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
−3.8 EP
8
Q4 4:20 · CHI · Fumble lost
11-C.Keenum sacked at GB 47 for -8 yards (95-D.Wyatt). FUMBLES (95-D.Wyatt) [95-D.Wyatt], RECOVERED by GB-51-D.Dennis-Sutton at GB 41.
−4.7 EP

Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →

How to read this chart

The line is win probability: over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it: to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.

7@31

Week 5

If the Bears had recovered that fumble

Bears after the play18%what really happened

Q2 0:39 10-J.Love sacked at GB 45 for -6 yards (94-A.Booker). FUMBLES (94-A.Booker) [94-A.Booker], and recovers at GB 46.

Week 5

The rest of the week

45@21

32@29

30@23

37@34