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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 5 · 2026Lions 45 · 21 Cardinals

151 plays, one strand. Lions won after 1 lead change; Lions peaked at 100% to win, Cardinals at 79%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for ARI, down for DET, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom line1 lead change; Lions peaked at 100% to win, Cardinals at 79%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Cardinals win, play by play. High = ARI in control, low = DET in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for ARI on offense, down for DET; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Cardinals ↑Lions ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDTDTDINTTDTDTDTDTDARI ↑ HOMEDET ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: DET on the left, ARI on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
DETARI
65Plays70
412Yards327
8Explosive plays4
6Offensive TDs3
0Turnovers1
100%Peak win prob.79%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
DETPunt-7yARITD73yDETPunt-3yARIPunt3yDETPunt0yARIPunt8yDETTD39yARIPunt3yDETTD47yARIPunt7yDETTD70yARIPunt1yDETFG40yARIINT14yARIFG ✕31yDETTD63yARITD72yDETTD74yARI–29yDETTD84yARITD78yDETPunt5yARI–8y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.1 expected points for Cardinals.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 10:18 · ARI · Completion

    7-J.Brissett pass short middle to 17-K.Bourne to DET 30 for 22 yards (21-R.McCreary).

    +3.1 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 13:37 · DET · Completion

    16-J.Goff pass short middle to 87-S.LaPorta to ARI 35 for 12 yards (29-D.Burke). PENALTY on ARI-1-Ma.Wilson, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards

    +4.5 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 9:38 · DET · Touchdown

    16-J.Goff pass short right to 87-S.LaPorta for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +5.6 EP
  4. 4
    Q2 4:55 · DET · Touchdown

    16-J.Goff pass short left to 1-J.Williams for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +4.0 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 12:24 · ARI · Missed field goal

    38-C.Ryland 53 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.

    −3.3 EP
  6. 6
    Q3 9:50 · DET · Touchdown

    16-J.Goff pass deep right to 1-J.Williams for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. ARI-97-W.Nolen was injured during the play.

    +5.1 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 13:03 · ARI · Sack

    7-J.Brissett sacked at DET 20 for -1 yards (sack split by 97-A.Hutchinson and 44-M.Rodriguez).

    −4.3 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 2:17 · ARI · Touchdown

    7-J.Brissett pass short right to 85-T.McBride for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +4.3 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
45@21Week 5

If the Cardinals had stopped that fourth-and-3

Cardinals after the play68%what really happened
CardinalsLionsthe rest never happened

Q2 13:37 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 87-S.LaPorta to ARI 35 for 12 yards (29-D.Burke). PENALTY on ARI-1-Ma.Wilson, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at ARI 35.

Week 5

The rest of the week

Every week →
Buccaneers at Cowboys, Game DNA24@16Eagles at Jaguars, Game DNA17@19Bengals at Dolphins, Game DNA31@24Browns at Jets, Game DNA12@17Texans at Titans, Game DNA26@3Colts at Steelers, Game DNA22@34Raiders at Patriots, Game DNA17@45Vikings at Saints, Game DNA23@13Giants at Commanders, Game DNA27@27Bears at Packers, Game DNA7@31Broncos at Chargers, Game DNA23@1749ers at Seahawks, Game DNA32@29Ravens at Falcons, Game DNA30@23Bills at Rams, Game DNA37@34