Pigskin NightlyWeek 10
Latest
InjuryKyler Murray: Questionable → Out4 min agoInjuryDaiyan Henley: Active → Cleared4 min agoRaiders DeskRaiders were outplayed from the first quarter in a deserved loss to the 49ers6 min agoIndianapolis ColtsColts sign WR Nick Westbrook-Ikhine to 53-man roster from practice squad; sign LS Jacob Bobenmoyer to practice squadPro Football RumorsBroncos To Acquire LB Daiyan Henley From ChargersMinnesota VikingsVikings Bring Back Quarterback Kirk Cousins via Trade with RaidersPro Football RumorsColts Will Not Trade Jonathan Taylor Before DeadlineInjuryPuka Nacua: Questionable → Doubtful22 min agoIndianapolis ColtsColts trade WR Keenan Allen to San Francisco 49ers for 2027 sixth-round NFL Draft pickCarolina PanthersPanthers release wide receiver David Moore, among other movesESPNEisen fired up over Kirk Cousins' return to the VikingsSeahawks DeskSeahawks earned 17-3 over Cardinals, then punted on fourth-and-1 anyway35 min agoKansas City ChiefsChiefs Kick Off 12th Annual Chiefs Kingdom Food Drive Benefiting HarvestersInjuryKirk Cousins: Active → Cleared37 min agoESPNMcAfee & Co. react to Bills' trade for Amani HookerESPNJeff Saturday: Kirk Cousins trade a 'great fit' for Vikings and RaidersESPNNFL trade deadline grades: Deals for Keenan Allen, Jordan Davis, Jessie BatesTampa Bay BuccaneersTop Play Breakdown: Tykee Smith's Interception Against the BearsInjuryPuka Nacua: Doubtful → Questionable55 min agoESPNSources: Bills fill major need at safety, trade for Titans' Amani HookerPro Football RumorsRaiders To Trade QB Kirk Cousins Back To VikingsInjuryCam Skattebo: Out → Questionable1 h ago
WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
Week 18 · Sun, Jan 10 · Highmark Stadium12 AM ET
At a glance

The New York Jets (2-7) visit the Buffalo Bills (7-1) on Sun, Jan 10, time TBD at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY (Week 18, 2026 season).

When and where is Jets vs Bills?

Sun, Jan 10, time TBD at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY.

Who is injured for Jets vs Bills?

Jets: Garrett Wilson (WR, questionable, concussion), Joseph Ossai (DE, questionable, ankle), Nahshon Wright (CB, questionable, back) and Trevin Wallace (LB, questionable, groin). Bills: Tyrell Shavers (WR, out, knee - acl), Alec Anderson (OT, questionable, ankle), Dion Dawkins (OT, questionable, ribs) and Greg Gaines (DT, questionable, calf).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Jets at Bills: Week 18 preview”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2027-01-10-nyj-at-buf (updated 2026-11-10).

Regular season through week 17 · rank out of 32

Where this game will be decided

  1. 1Bills logoBills dropback offense vs Jets pass defense

    The Bills' dropback offense ranks 4th in EPA per dropback (+0.25, 277 dropbacks) against a Jets pass defense ranked 26th (+0.16 allowed, 312 dropbacks faced).

    4thBUF offense22 spots apart26thNYJ defense
  2. 2Bills logoBills third-down offense vs Jets third-down defense

    The Bills' third-down offense ranks 5th in third-down conversion rate (45.7%, 92 third downs) against a Jets third-down defense ranked 21st (42.7% allowed, 110 third downs faced).

    5thBUF offense16 spots apart21stNYJ defense
  3. 3Bills logoBills big-play offense vs Jets defense against big plays

    The Bills' big-play offense ranks 1st in explosive-play rate (13.5%, 504 plays) against a Jets defense against big plays ranked 15th (9.2% allowed, 563 plays faced).

    1stBUF offense14 spots apart15thNYJ defense
When the Jets have the ballEdge BUF · +12 ranks
NYJ dropback offenseEPA per dropbackBUF pass defense
14th+0.08313 dropbacks
+0.05 allowed328 dropbacks faced16th
NYJ run gameEPA per rushBUF run defense
20th-0.12212 rushes
BUF +12
-0.11 allowed176 rushes faced8th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Bills have the ballEdge BUF · +22 ranks
BUF dropback offenseEPA per dropbackNYJ pass defense
4th+0.25277 dropbacks
BUF +22
+0.16 allowed312 dropbacks faced26th
BUF run gameEPA per rushNYJ run defense
7th+0.00227 rushes
-0.11 allowed251 rushes faced9th
Third downEdge BUF · +16 ranks
NYJ third-down offensethird-down conversion rateBUF third-down defense
24th36.6%112 third downs
BUF +10
39.0% allowed100 third downs faced14th
BUF third-down offensethird-down conversion rateNYJ third-down defense
5th45.7%92 third downs
BUF +16
42.7% allowed110 third downs faced21st

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge BUF · +17 ranks
NYJ red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateBUF red-zone defense
32nd38%26 trips
BUF +11
63% allowed30 trips faced21st
BUF red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateNYJ red-zone defense
9th65%34 trips
BUF +17
69% allowed32 trips faced26th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge BUF · +14 ranks
NYJ big-play offenseexplosive-play rateBUF defense against big plays
10th9.9%525 plays
9.5% allowed504 plays faced16th
BUF big-play offenseexplosive-play rateNYJ defense against big plays
1st13.5%504 plays
BUF +14
9.2% allowed563 plays faced15th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge NYJ · +8 ranks
NYJ pass protectionsack rateBUF pass rush
28th8.9% sacked313 dropbacks
5.2% of dropbacks328 dropbacks faced21st
BUF pass protectionsack rateNYJ pass rush
18th6.1% sacked277 dropbacks
NYJ +8
7.1% of dropbacks312 dropbacks faced10th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversNo big edge
NYJ ball securityturnovers per gameBUF takeaway defense
7th0.8 giveaways a game9 games
1.5 takeaways a game8 games5th
BUF ball securityturnovers per gameNYJ takeaway defense
23rd1.5 giveaways a game8 games
1.0 takeaways a game9 games22nd

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

AbsencesNYJ 0 · BUF 0 regulars out or doubtful
Jets logoJets4 listed

0 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

Bills logoBills4 listed

0 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

Snap share is the average of the weeks each player was on the field this season. Full injury report ↓

Rest & travelSame rest · NYJ travels 278 mi
Jets logoAwayJets
7days since last game
278miles to get here
0time zones

Last: Sun wk 17 vs MIN · 6,387 mi flown this season

Body clock 12:00 a.m.
Rest edgeEvensame restTravel gap 278 mi
Bills logoHomeBills
7days since last game
0miles · home
0time zones

Last: Sun wk 17 at MIA · Miami Gardens · 12,423 mi flown this season

Normal week

League splits for these situations ↓

Sample: NYJ 9 games, 525 offensive and 563 defensive plays · BUF 8 games, 504 offensive and 504 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Season to date · rank out of 32

Tale of the tape

Jets logoNYJBUFBills logo
14th+0.003Offense EPA / play+0.1404th
14th+0.084Dropback EPA+0.2534th
20th-0.116Rush EPA+0.0037th
11th45.0%Offense success rate47.6%6th
21st-3.2%Pass rate over expected-3.4%22nd
22nd+0.039Defense EPA allowed-0.01013th
26th+0.161Pass defense EPA+0.04616th
9th-0.112Run defense EPA-0.1158th
29th46.7%Defense success allowed44.2%21st
19th18.0To QBs18.415th
9th25.3To RBs25.110th
25th28.5To WRs35.111th
14th14.4To TEs13.217th

Form

Last six results

Injury report

League report
Jets logoJets4 listed
Bills logoBills4 listed

Expected starters

ExpectedEvery game →

Depth chart rank 1, adjusted for the injury report. Kickoff Sun, Jan 10, 12 AM ET.

WeatherTBDForecast closer to kickoff
VenueHighmark StadiumOrchard Park, NY

Travel & rest

Travel & rest board
Jets logoAwayJets
7days since last game
278miles to get here
0time zones

Last: Sun wk 17 vs MIN · 6,387 mi flown this season

Body clock 12:00 a.m.
Rest edgeEvensame restTravel gap 278 mi
Bills logoHomeBills
7days since last game
0miles · home
0time zones

Last: Sun wk 17 at MIA · Miami Gardens · 12,423 mi flown this season

Normal week

Early body-clock kickoffs: 8-10 (18 games). All travel splits →

Week 18 around the league

15 other games