Bears at Vikings: Week 18 preview, odds and injuries

Week 18 · Sun, Jan 10 · U.S. Bank Stadium12 AM ET

at12 AMET · TBD

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 4:57 PM ET

The Chicago Bears (7-2) visit the Minnesota Vikings (6-2) on Sun, Jan 10, time TBD at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN (Week 18, 2026 season).

When and where is Bears vs Vikings?

Sun, Jan 10, time TBD at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN.

Who is injured for Bears vs Vikings?

Bears: Case Keenum (QB, out), Kyle Monangai (RB, out, toe), Malik Muhammad II (CB, out, toe), Luther Burden III (WR, questionable, concussion) and Tyrique Stevenson Sr. (CB, questionable, hand). Vikings: Kyler Murray (QB, doubtful, hamstring), Jauan Jennings (WR, questionable, calf), Theo Jackson (S, questionable) and Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins (DE, questionable, ankle).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Bears at Vikings: Week 18 preview”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2027-01-10-chi-at-min (updated 2026-11-10).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

Regular season through week 17 · rank out of 32

Where this game will be decided

1Bears third-down defense vs Vikings third-down offense
The Bears' third-down defense ranks 1st in third-down conversion rate (22.8% allowed, 92 third downs faced) and faces a Vikings third-down offense ranked 28th (35.2%, 105 third downs).
28thMIN offense27 spots apart1stCHI defense
2Bears pass rush vs Vikings pass protection
The Bears' pass rush ranks 3rd in sack rate (8.6% of dropbacks, 303 dropbacks faced) and faces a Vikings pass protection ranked 26th (8.6% sacked, 266 dropbacks).
26thMIN offense23 spots apart3rdCHI defense
3Bears pass defense vs Vikings dropback offense
The Bears' pass defense ranks 7th in EPA per dropback (-0.03 allowed, 303 dropbacks faced) and faces a Vikings dropback offense ranked 27th (-0.11, 266 dropbacks).
27thMIN offense20 spots apart7thCHI defense

When the Bears have the ballEdge MIN · +11 ranks

CHI dropback offenseEPA per dropbackMIN pass defense

12th+0.09354 dropbacks

MIN +11

-0.18 allowed271 dropbacks faced1st

CHI run gameEPA per rushMIN run defense

11th-0.04270 rushes

-0.11 allowed210 rushes faced11th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Vikings have the ballEdge CHI · +20 ranks

MIN dropback offenseEPA per dropbackCHI pass defense

27th-0.11266 dropbacks

CHI +20

-0.03 allowed303 dropbacks faced7th

MIN run gameEPA per rushCHI run defense

30th-0.23181 rushes

CHI +15

-0.08 allowed170 rushes faced15th

Third downEdge CHI · +27 ranks

CHI third-down offensethird-down conversion rateMIN third-down defense

7th45.3%128 third downs

32.4% allowed108 third downs faced2nd

MIN third-down offensethird-down conversion rateCHI third-down defense

28th35.2%105 third downs

CHI +27

22.8% allowed92 third downs faced1st

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge MIN · +19 ranks

CHI red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateMIN red-zone defense

20th54%37 trips

MIN +19

26% allowed19 trips faced1st

MIN red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateCHI red-zone defense

25th50%18 trips

CHI +11

56% allowed25 trips faced14th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsNo big edge

CHI big-play offenseexplosive-play rateMIN defense against big plays

11th9.8%624 plays

8.7% allowed481 plays faced11th

MIN big-play offenseexplosive-play rateCHI defense against big plays

19th8.7%447 plays

9.9% allowed473 plays faced22nd

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge CHI · +23 ranks

CHI pass protectionsack rateMIN pass rush

13th5.6% sacked354 dropbacks

MIN +12

10.7% of dropbacks271 dropbacks faced1st

MIN pass protectionsack rateCHI pass rush

26th8.6% sacked266 dropbacks

CHI +23

8.6% of dropbacks303 dropbacks faced3rd

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge MIN · +24 ranks

CHI ball securityturnovers per gameMIN takeaway defense

29th1.9 giveaways a game9 games

MIN +24

1.5 takeaways a game8 games5th

MIN ball securityturnovers per gameCHI takeaway defense

10th1.0 giveaways a game8 games

MIN +9

1.1 takeaways a game9 games19th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

AbsencesCHI 1 · MIN 1 regulars out or doubtful

Bears5 listed

1 of them is a regular ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

OUTMalik Muhammad IICB75% defense · 7 wk
QTyrique Stevenson Sr.CB67% defense · 8 wk
QLuther Burden IIIWR60% offense · 9 wk
OUTCase KeenumQB45% offense · 3 wk
OUTKyle MonangaiRB41% offense · 4 wk

Vikings4 listed

1 of them is a regular ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

DKyler MurrayQB86% offense · 6 wk
QJauan JenningsWR67% offense · 6 wk
QTheo JacksonS59% defense · 7 wk
QTyrion Ingram-DawkinsDE59% defense · 8 wk

Snap share is the average of the weeks each player was on the field this season. Full injury report ↓

Rest & travelSame rest · CHI travels 355 mi

AwayBears

7days since last game

355miles to get here

0time zones

Last: Sun wk 17 vs DET · 6,181 mi flown this season

Normal week

Rest edgeEvensame restTravel gap 355 mi

HomeVikings

7days since last game

0miles · home

0time zones

Last: Sun wk 17 at NYJ · East Rutherford · 6,529 mi flown this season

Normal week

League splits for these situations ↓

Sample: CHI 9 games, 624 offensive and 473 defensive plays · MIN 8 games, 447 offensive and 481 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Season to date · rank out of 32