Pigskin NightlyWeek 10
Latest
Pro Football RumorsSteelers Soured On Calvin Ridley; Pursued Brian Thomas Jr., Josh DownsMinnesota VikingsMailbag: Vikings Fans React to Week 9 as NFL Trade Deadline ClearsSeattle SeahawksSeahawks Mailbag: Trade Deadline, Drew Lock & MoreJacksonville JaguarsJaguars GM James Gladstone: "This Is About Team Building…"ESPN2026 NFL trade deadline winners, losers: Kirk Cousins, Josh Downs, Bengals, moreInjuryShy Tuttle: Questionable → Active43 min agoPro Football RumorsCardinals’ Budda Baker Interested In Joining Contender; Bills, Jags Checked InBuffalo Bills'A difference maker' | Bills GM Brandon Beane details how Amani Hooker trade went down and how he'll fitInjuryChig Okonkwo: Questionable → Active1 h agoSeattle SeahawksFantasy Football Week 10 Guide: Top Starts And Waiver Wire RankingsESPNFrom 2-7 to 6-2: Josh Downs reacts to Chiefs trade with Vince Carter GIFInjuryCharlie Jones: Questionable → Active1 h agoInjuryCarl Granderson: Active → Cleared1 h agoPro Football RumorsRaiders Name Fernando Mendoza Starting QBLas Vegas RaidersFernando Mendoza named Raiders' starting quarterbackCleveland BrownsBrowns announce unofficial depth chart for Week 10 vs. the TexansPro Football RumorsVikings Had Interest In Justin Herbert, Daniel Jones, Geno SmithLos Angeles RamsFirst Look: Rams take on Cardinals in Arizona in Week 10 riding three-game win streakVikings DeskVikings lose by 17 and the snaps say it should have been worse2 h agoInjuryCam Skattebo: Active → Out2 h agoInjuryJ.J. McCarthy: Active → Questionable2 h agoGiants DeskJameis Winston's minus-0.05 EPA per play meets a Commanders defense ranked 20th3 h ago
WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
At a glance

The Jacksonville Jaguars beat the Cleveland Browns 34-10 on Sun, Sep 13 at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, FL (Week 1, 2026 season). Records after the game: Browns 5-4, Jaguars 6-2. T.Lawrence (JAX) led all players with +19.0 EPA on 24 dropbacks.

Who won Browns vs Jaguars?

The Jacksonville Jaguars won 34-10. By quarter: CLE 0-0-3-7, JAX 14-10-10-0.

Who was the best player in Browns vs Jaguars?

By expected points added: T.Lawrence (JAX, +19.0 EPA on 24 dropbacks), P.Washington (JAX, +8.8 EPA on 6 targets) and D.Boston (CLE, +5.2 EPA on 4 targets).

What was the turning point of Browns vs Jaguars?

The biggest swing in win probability (9 points toward the Jaguars) came in Q1 at 12:17: D.Watson pass short left intended for J.Jeudy INTERCEPTED by F.Oluokun [D.Hamilton] at JAX 19. F.Oluokun to JAX 41 for 22 yards (E.Jenkins).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Browns 10, Jaguars 34: Week 1 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-09-13-cle-at-jax (updated 2026-11-11).

The Verdict

Week 1 issue →
Week 1EarnedGame file →

Jaguars earned it: the snaps said Jaguars by 18.4, a deserved win probability of more than 99%.

Deserved marginJAX by 18.4
Real marginJAX by 24
Luck pts CLE−3.1
Luck pts JAX+1.9

The swingQ1 12:17 · CLE · −17 pts of win probability. 4-D.Watson pass short left intended for 3-J.Jeudy INTERCEPTED by 23-F.Oluokun [52-D.Hamilton] at JAX 19. 23-F.Oluokun to JAX 41 for 22 yards (74-E.Jenkins).

Flags that moved this game

  1. 1Illegal Forward PassJAX → helped CLE · Wk 1 Q1 4:03 · 16-T.Lawrence left end to CLE 44 for 2 yards. 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short left [49-C.Schwesinger]. PENALTY on…+1.1 WP
  2. 2Offensive HoldingCLE → helped JAX · Wk 1 Q1 8:11 · 39-C.Little kicks 65 yards from JAX 35 to CLE 0. 22-D.Sampson to CLE 27 for 27 yards (31-J.Tavai). PENALTY on…+1.0 WP

Fourth downs our model disagreed with

  1. 1JAX · 4th & 1Liam Coen chose Field goal at opp 29, Wk 1 Q2 9:13, up 14. Model: Go for it (lean). Result: good.−0.65 EP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

All Lab tools →
Game DNA122 plays, one strand0 lead changes · 10 explosive plays · downloadable poster →
10@34Week 1Changes the winner

If that interception had fallen incomplete

Browns after the play36%what really happened
JaguarsBrownsthe rest never happened

Q1 12:17 4-D.Watson pass short left intended for 3-J.Jeudy INTERCEPTED by 23-F.Oluokun [52-D.Hamilton] at JAX 19. 23-F.Oluokun to JAX 41 for 22 yards (74-E.Jenkins).

Every game's sliding door →
Home win probability, play by play

The river

Browns logo0%Jaguars logo100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

JAX ▲CLE ▼
Q1Q2Q3Q4

The five biggest swings

  1. +9%Q1 12:17 · for Jaguars logo JAXD.Watson pass short left intended for J.Jeudy INTERCEPTED by F.Oluokun [D.Hamilton] at JAX 19. F.Oluokun to JAX 41 for 22 yards (E.Jenkins).
  2. +6%Q1 8:11 · for Jaguars logo JAX(Shotgun) T.Lawrence pass deep right to P.Washington for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN [M.Collins]. C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Matiscik, Holder-L.Cooke.
  3. +3%Q1 3:55 · for Jaguars logo JAX(Shotgun) T.Lawrence pass deep left to P.Washington to CLV 27 for 22 yards (R.Hickman).
  4. +2%Q1 13:37 · for Browns logo CLE(Shotgun) D.Watson pass short middle to K.Concepcion to JAX 33 for 9 yards (A.Johnson).
  5. +2%Q1 9:46 · for Jaguars logo JAXT.Lawrence pass short middle to P.Washington to CLV 33 for 11 yards (T.Campbell).

Every drive, on the field

JAX attacks →← CLE attacks
  1. Q1 15:00INT5p · 32y · 2:54
  2. Q1 12:06TD8p · 59y · 3:55
  3. Q1 8:11PUNT3p · 4y · 1:47
  4. Q1 6:24TD9p · 74y · 4:42
  5. Q1 1:42PUNT3p · -8y · 1:50
  6. Q2 14:52FG11p · 43y · 5:43
  7. Q2 9:09FUM2p · 6y · 0:42
  8. Q2 8:27TD5p · 44y · 2:09
  9. Q2 6:18PUNT5p · 15y · 2:24
  10. Q2 3:54PUNT4p · 9y · 2:22
  11. Q2 1:32HALF5p · 16y · 1:32
  12. Q3 15:00TD4p · 60y · 2:52
  13. Q3 12:08FG7p · 15y · 3:37
  14. Q3 8:31FG10p · 47y · 6:43
  15. Q3 1:48DOWNS14p · 63y · 8:36
  16. Q4 8:12PUNT4p · 17y · 3:33
  17. Q4 4:39TD6p · 89y · 2:47
  18. Q4 1:52END3p · -3y · 1:52
Browns logoBrowns8 drives2scoring drives (1 TD)25%drives ending in pointsOWN 34avg starting field position2three-and-outs3turnovers incl. downs
Jaguars logoJaguars8 drives6scoring drives (4 TD)75%drives ending in pointsOWN 32avg starting field position0three-and-outs0turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

  1. Q1
    8:11
    Jaguars logoTouchdown(Shotgun) T.Lawrence pass deep right to P.Washington for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN [M.Collins]. C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Matiscik, Holder-L.Cooke.0–7
  2. Q1
    1:42
    Jaguars logoTouchdownT.Lawrence pass short middle to J.Cameron for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Matiscik, Holder-L.Cooke.0–14
  3. Q2
    9:09
    Jaguars logoField goalC.Little 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R.Matiscik, Holder-L.Cooke.0–17
  4. Q2
    6:18
    Jaguars logoTouchdown(Shotgun) T.Lawrence pass short middle to B.Strange for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Matiscik, Holder-L.Cooke.0–24
  5. Q3
    12:08
    Jaguars logoTouchdown(Shotgun) T.Lawrence pass deep left to J.Meyers for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN. C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Matiscik, Holder-L.Cooke.0–31
  6. Q3
    8:31
    Browns logoField goal A.Szmyt 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.3–31
  7. Q3
    1:48
    Jaguars logoField goalC.Little 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R.Matiscik, Holder-L.Cooke.3–34
  8. Q4
    1:52
    Browns logoTouchdownDenzel Boston 46 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Andre Szmyt Kick).10–34

Team stats

Browns logoCLEvsJAXJaguars logo
272Total yards360
185Passing yards234
87Rushing yards126
5.6Yards per play6.4
14First downs23
1-8 · 13%Third down5-10 · 50%
1-2Fourth down0-0
0-2Red zone TDs2-2
16/22Comp / att18/23
4.0Yards per carry3.9
2Turnovers0
5 (−20 yds)Sacks allowed1 (−11 yds)
11 for 75Penalties4 for 25
26:09Possession33:51
Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

Dropback EPA-0.225+0.793
Rush EPA-0.119-0.038
Success rate45%60%
Explosive plays49
Plays4953

Who moved the needle

Cost their side the most

Box score

Browns logoCleveland Browns
PassingC/ATTYDSAVGTDINTSACKSQBRRTG
Deshaun WatsonQB16/222059.3115-2043.397.7
RushingCARYDSAVGTDLONG
Deshaun WatsonQB6386.309
Quinshon JudkinsRB12332.805
KC ConcepcionWR3155.0010
Raheim SandersRB111.001
ReceivingRECTGTSYDSAVGTDLONG
Denzel BostonWR245929.5146
KC ConcepcionWR454310.8025
Jerry JeudyWR242613.0020
Raheim SandersRB33258.3011
Harold Fannin Jr.TE232110.5012
Quinshon JudkinsRB22178.5016
Blake WhiteheartTE111414.0014
DefenseTOTSOLOSACKSTFLPDQB HTS
Carson SchwesingerLB1030101
Ronnie HickmanS830000
Tyson CampbellCB730000
Mason GrahamDT531201
Denzel WardCB510000
Quincy WilliamsLB430000
Jared VerseDE430100
Sam WilliamsLB410000
Grant DelpitS310010
Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenS310000
KickingFGPCTLONGXPPTS
Andre SzmytPK1/1100.0261/13
Jaguars logoJacksonville Jaguars
PassingC/ATTYDSAVGTDINTSACKSQBRRTG
Trevor LawrenceQB18/2324510.7401-1195.2150.6
RushingCARYDSAVGTDLONG
Bhayshul TutenRB15664.4012
Ameer AbdullahRB4328.0012
Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB6233.808
Travis HunterWR133.003
Trevor LawrenceQB231.502
Jakobi MeyersWR122.002
Nick MullensQB3-3-1.00-1
ReceivingRECTGTSYDSAVGTDLONG
Parker WashingtonWR568316.6130
Jakobi MeyersWR224020.0132
Brian Thomas Jr.WR334013.3018
Brenton StrangeTE232311.5114
Bhayshul TutenRB112222.0022
Josh CameronWR222010.0116
Nate BoerkircherTE1199.009
Travis HunterWR1188.008
Ameer AbdullahRB1100.000
Quintin MorrisTE0100.000
DefenseTOTSOLOSACKSTFLPDQB HTS
Ventrell MillerLB1071201
Caleb RansawS650000
Montaric BrownCB530100
Josh Hines-AllenDE521.5102
Branson CombsLB431101
Foyesade OluokunLB430010
Antonio JohnsonS430000
Jahlani TavaiLB320000
Jourdan LewisCB310000
Travon WalkerDE211.5111
KickingFGPCTLONGXPPTS
Cam LittlePK2/2100.0474/410

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not startBrowns logoMichael BurtonFB→ Raheim SandersBrowns logoMaliek CollinsRDT→ Mike Hall Jr.Browns logoEaston Mascarenas-ArnoldWLB→ Adin HuntingtonJaguars logoWalker LittleLT→ Anton HarrisonJaguars logoDavon GodchauxRDT→ Danny StriggowJaguars logoTravis HunterLCB→ Jarrian JonesJaguars logoJourdan LewisNB→ Eric MurrayJaguars logoJessie Bates IIISS→ Caleb Ransaw
Official NFL and team channels · plays on click

The game on video

Game highlights

Cleveland Browns vs Jacksonville Jaguars Game Highlights | NFL 2026 Week 1

NFL · 16:37 · 58 d ago
5:01
Game highlights58 d ago

Browns vs. Jaguars: Week 1 Highlights | Jacksonville Jaguars

Browns logoJaguars logoJacksonville Jaguars
2:54
Top plays58 d ago

Trevor Lawrence's best plays from 4-TD game vs. Browns | Week 1

Browns logoJaguars logoNFL
1:52:36
Press conference58 d ago

Browns vs. Jaguars | Week 1 Postgame Show

Browns logoJaguars logoJacksonville Jaguars
19:04
Press conference57 d ago

Todd Monken Press Conference | September 14th, 2026

Browns logoJaguars logoCleveland Browns
18:41
Press conference57 d ago

Todd Monken Press Conference | September 14th, 2026

Browns logoJaguars logoCleveland Browns
15:18
Press conference58 d ago

Todd Monken Press Conference at Jaguars | September 13th, 2026

Jaguars logoBrowns logoCleveland Browns
8:41
Press conference58 d ago

Deshaun Watson Press Conference at Jaguars | September 13th, 2026

Jaguars logoBrowns logoCleveland Browns
1:50
Press conference58 d ago

Browns @ Jaguars Postgame Recap | Cleveland Browns

Browns logoJaguars logoCleveland Browns
0:31
Quick hit58 d ago

Deshaun Watson DEEP to Denzel Boston

Browns logoJaguars logoNFL
0:29
Quick hit58 d ago

Trevor Lawrence is in flow state 😮‍💨

Jaguars logoBrowns logoNFL
0:29
Quick hit58 d ago

Trevor Lawrence ON THE RUN TO JAKOBI MEYERS TD

Jaguars logoBrowns logoNFL
0:29
Quick hit58 d ago

Trevor Lawrence zips it to Bretnon Strange for the TD

Jaguars logoBrowns logoNFL
0:22
Quick hit58 d ago

Trevor Lawrence finds Josh Cameron for the TD

Jaguars logoBrowns logoNFL
0:22
Quick hit58 d ago

Foye Oluokun picks off Deshaun Watson

Browns logoJaguars logoNFL
0:18
Quick hit58 d ago

okay Parker Washington!!! 🔥

Jaguars logoBrowns logoNFL
SpreadJAX −8.5JAX covered by 15.5
TotalO/U 40.5Over by 3.5 (44 scored)
Weather89°FHumidity: 66%, Wind: W 3 mph
VenueEverBank StadiumJacksonville, FL · Natural grass · Open air
Head coachesTodd MonkenvsLiam CoenConference game
BroadcastCBS1 PM ET · Sun, Sep 13

Travel & rest

Travel & rest board
Browns logoAwayBrowns
–days since last game
773miles to get here
0time zones

Season opener · 7,213 mi flown this season

Normal week
Rest edgeEvensame restTravel gap 773 mi
Jaguars logoHomeJaguars
–days since last game
0miles · home
0time zones

Season opener · 22,585 mi flown this season

Normal week

Week 1 around the league

15 other games