Commanders at Jaguars: Week 17 preview, odds and injuries

Week 17 · Sun, Jan 3 · EverBank Stadium12 AM ET

at12 AMET · TBD

At a glanceUpdated Nov 11, 2026, 12:55 AM ET

The Washington Commanders (2-5-1) visit the Jacksonville Jaguars (6-2) on Sun, Jan 3, time TBD at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, FL (Week 17, 2026 season).

When and where is Commanders vs Jaguars?

Sun, Jan 3, time TBD at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, FL.

Who is injured for Commanders vs Jaguars?

Commanders: Lucas Patrick (G, doubtful, concussion), Colson Yankoff (TE, questionable, knee) and Treylon Burks (WR, questionable, foot). Jaguars: nobody listed out, doubtful or questionable.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Commanders at Jaguars: Week 17 preview”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2027-01-03-wsh-at-jax (updated 2026-11-11).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

Regular season through week 16 · rank out of 32

Where this game will be decided

1Jaguars third-down defense vs Commanders third-down offense
The Jaguars' third-down defense ranks 9th in third-down conversion rate (35.5% allowed, 93 third downs faced) and faces a Commanders third-down offense ranked 32nd (31.1%, 106 third downs).
32ndWSH offense23 spots apart9thJAX defense
2Jaguars run defense vs Commanders run game
The Jaguars' run defense ranks 3rd in EPA per rush (-0.17 allowed, 175 rushes faced) and faces a Commanders run game ranked 23rd (-0.13, 178 rushes).
23rdWSH offense20 spots apart3rdJAX defense
3Jaguars dropback offense vs Commanders pass defense
The Jaguars' dropback offense ranks 2nd in EPA per dropback (+0.27, 249 dropbacks) against a Commanders pass defense ranked 19th (+0.07 allowed, 333 dropbacks faced).
2ndJAX offense17 spots apart19thWSH defense

When the Commanders have the ballEdge JAX · +20 ranks

WSH dropback offenseEPA per dropbackJAX pass defense

19th+0.03314 dropbacks

JAX +16

-0.10 allowed291 dropbacks faced3rd

WSH run gameEPA per rushJAX run defense

23rd-0.13178 rushes

JAX +20

-0.17 allowed175 rushes faced3rd

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Jaguars have the ballEdge JAX · +17 ranks

JAX dropback offenseEPA per dropbackWSH pass defense

2nd+0.27249 dropbacks

JAX +17

+0.07 allowed333 dropbacks faced19th

JAX run gameEPA per rushWSH run defense

6th+0.01214 rushes

JAX +17

-0.06 allowed183 rushes faced23rd

Third downEdge JAX · +23 ranks

WSH third-down offensethird-down conversion rateJAX third-down defense

32nd31.1%106 third downs

JAX +23

35.5% allowed93 third downs faced9th

JAX third-down offensethird-down conversion rateWSH third-down defense

4th46.9%96 third downs

JAX +14

41.3% allowed109 third downs faced18th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge JAX · +18 ranks

WSH red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateJAX red-zone defense

18th55%22 trips

JAX +14

41% allowed22 trips faced4th

JAX red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateWSH red-zone defense

11th63%24 trips

JAX +18

75% allowed28 trips faced29th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge JAX · +15 ranks

WSH big-play offenseexplosive-play rateJAX defense against big plays

18th9.1%492 plays

JAX +15

7.1% allowed466 plays faced3rd

JAX big-play offenseexplosive-play rateWSH defense against big plays

8th10.2%463 plays

7.8% allowed516 plays faced8th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge JAX · +13 ranks

WSH pass protectionsack rateJAX pass rush

20th6.4% sacked314 dropbacks

5.5% of dropbacks291 dropbacks faced20th

JAX pass protectionsack rateWSH pass rush

11th5.2% sacked249 dropbacks

JAX +13

5.1% of dropbacks333 dropbacks faced24th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversNo big edge

WSH ball securityturnovers per gameJAX takeaway defense

2nd0.6 giveaways a game8 games

1.8 takeaways a game8 games3rd

JAX ball securityturnovers per gameWSH takeaway defense

5th0.8 giveaways a game8 games

1.5 takeaways a game8 games5th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

AbsencesWSH 1 · JAX 0 regulars out or doubtful

Commanders3 listed

1 of them is a regular ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

DLucas PatrickG90% offense · 7 wk
QTreylon BurksWR53% offense · 6 wk
QColson YankoffTE14% offense · 8 wk

Jaguars1 listed

0 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

OUTCam'Ron Silmon-CraigSno snaps

Snap share is the average of the weeks each player was on the field this season. Full injury report ↓

Rest & travelSame rest · WSH travels 652 mi

AwayCommanders

7days since last game

652miles to get here

0time zones

Last: Sun wk 16 at MIN · Minneapolis · 14,813 mi flown this season

Body clock 12:00 a.m.

Rest edgeEvensame restTravel gap 652 mi

HomeJaguars

7days since last game

0miles · home

0time zones

Last: Sun wk 16 at DAL · Arlington · 22,585 mi flown this season

Normal week

League splits for these situations ↓

Sample: WSH 8 games, 492 offensive and 516 defensive plays · JAX 8 games, 463 offensive and 466 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Season to date · rank out of 32