Buccaneers at Lions: Week 11 preview, odds and injuries

Week 11 · Sun, Nov 22 · Ford Field1 PM ET

at1 PMET · FoxDET -3.5 · O/U 47.5

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 6:35 PM ET

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-6) visit the Detroit Lions (6-2) on Sun, Nov 22, 1 PM ET at Ford Field in Detroit, MI (Week 11, 2026 season), on Fox. Betting line: DET -3.5, over/under 47.5.

When and where is Buccaneers vs Lions?

Sun, Nov 22, 1 PM ET at Ford Field in Detroit, MI. TV: Fox.

Who is favored in Buccaneers vs Lions?

The line is DET -3.5 with an over/under of 47.5 (DraftKings).

Who is injured for Buccaneers vs Lions?

Buccaneers: Yaya Diaby (LB, out, knee - mcl) and Antoine Winfield Jr. (S, questionable, ankle). Lions: Kerby Joseph (S, out, knee), Cade Mays (C, questionable, ankle), D.J. Reed (CB, questionable, hip), DJ Wonnum (LB, questionable, concussion) and Jacob Saylors (RB, questionable, neck).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Buccaneers at Lions: Week 11 preview”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-11-22-tb-at-det (updated 2026-11-10).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

Regular season through week 10 · rank out of 32

Where this game will be decided

1Lions pass rush vs Buccaneers pass protection
The Lions' pass rush ranks 7th in sack rate (7.6% of dropbacks, 355 dropbacks faced) and faces a Buccaneers pass protection ranked 29th (9.2% sacked, 293 dropbacks).
29thTB offense22 spots apart7thDET defense
2Buccaneers third-down defense vs Lions third-down offense
The Buccaneers' third-down defense ranks 6th in third-down conversion rate (34.5% allowed, 113 third downs faced) and faces a Lions third-down offense ranked 22nd (37.2%, 94 third downs).
22ndDET offense16 spots apart6thTB defense
3Buccaneers big-play offense vs Lions defense against big plays
The Buccaneers' big-play offense ranks 12th in explosive-play rate (9.7%, 556 plays) against a Lions defense against big plays ranked 28th (11.0% allowed, 519 plays faced).
12thTB offense16 spots apart28thDET defense

When the Buccaneers have the ballNo big edge

TB dropback offenseEPA per dropbackDET pass defense

30th-0.20293 dropbacks

+0.16 allowed355 dropbacks faced27th

TB run gameEPA per rushDET run defense

10th-0.01263 rushes

-0.11 allowed164 rushes faced12th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Lions have the ballEdge TB · +8 ranks

DET dropback offenseEPA per dropbackTB pass defense

5th+0.21299 dropbacks

-0.17 allowed335 dropbacks faced2nd

DET run gameEPA per rushTB run defense

13th-0.05218 rushes

TB +8

-0.16 allowed180 rushes faced5th

Third downEdge TB · +16 ranks

TB third-down offensethird-down conversion rateDET third-down defense

23rd37.1%124 third downs

44.9% allowed107 third downs faced26th

DET third-down offensethird-down conversion rateTB third-down defense

22nd37.2%94 third downs

TB +16

34.5% allowed113 third downs faced6th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneNo big edge

TB red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateDET red-zone defense

25th50%30 trips

66% allowed29 trips faced23rd

DET red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateTB red-zone defense

13th62%34 trips

48% allowed23 trips faced7th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge TB · +16 ranks

TB big-play offenseexplosive-play rateDET defense against big plays

12th9.7%556 plays

TB +16

11.0% allowed519 plays faced28th

DET big-play offenseexplosive-play rateTB defense against big plays

5th10.8%517 plays

7.2% allowed515 plays faced4th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge DET · +22 ranks

TB pass protectionsack rateDET pass rush

29th9.2% sacked293 dropbacks

DET +22

7.6% of dropbacks355 dropbacks faced7th

DET pass protectionsack rateTB pass rush

19th6.4% sacked299 dropbacks

5.1% of dropbacks335 dropbacks faced26th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversNo big edge

TB ball securityturnovers per gameDET takeaway defense

24th1.6 giveaways a game9 games

1.0 takeaways a game8 games22nd

DET ball securityturnovers per gameTB takeaway defense

2nd0.6 giveaways a game8 games

2.1 takeaways a game9 games1st

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

AbsencesTB 0 · DET 0 regulars out or doubtful

Buccaneers2 listed

0 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

QAntoine Winfield Jr.S89% defense · 6 wk
OUTYaya DiabyLB53% defense · 8 wk

Lions5 listed

0 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

QD.J. ReedCB94% defense · 7 wk
QCade MaysC66% offense · 2 wk
QDJ WonnumLB54% defense · 7 wk
QJacob SaylorsRB3% offense · 7 wk
OUTKerby JosephSno snaps

Snap share is the average of the weeks each player was on the field this season. Full injury report ↓

Rest & travelTB +7 days of rest · TB travels 993 mi

AwayBuccaneers

14days since last game

993miles to get here

0time zones

Last: Sun wk 9 at CHI (L 24-27) · Chicago · 6,435 mi flown this season

Off a bye

Rest edge+7TB daysTravel gap 993 mi

HomeLions

7days since last game

0miles · home

0time zones

Last: Sun wk 10 vs NE · Munich · 7,124 mi flown this season

Normal week

League splits for these situations ↓

Sample: TB 9 games, 556 offensive and 515 defensive plays · DET 8 games, 517 offensive and 519 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Season to date · rank out of 32