Saints at Bears: Week 11 preview, odds and injuries

Week 11 · Sun, Nov 22 · Soldier Field1 PM ET

at1 PMET · Fox

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

The New Orleans Saints (3-5) visit the Chicago Bears (7-2) on Sun, Nov 22, 1 PM ET at Soldier Field in Chicago, IL (Week 11, 2026 season), on Fox.

When and where is Saints vs Bears?

Sun, Nov 22, 1 PM ET at Soldier Field in Chicago, IL. TV: Fox.

Who is injured for Saints vs Bears?

Saints: Erik McCoy (C, doubtful, biceps) and CJ Donaldson (RB, questionable, shoulder). Bears: Case Keenum (QB, out), Kyle Monangai (RB, out, toe), Malik Muhammad II (CB, out, toe), Luther Burden III (WR, questionable, concussion) and Tyrique Stevenson Sr. (CB, questionable, hand).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Saints at Bears: Week 11 preview”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-11-22-no-at-chi (updated 2026-11-10).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

Regular season through week 10 · rank out of 32

Where this game will be decided

1Bears third-down offense vs Saints third-down defense
The Bears' third-down offense ranks 7th in third-down conversion rate (45.3%, 128 third downs) against a Saints third-down defense ranked 30th (49.5% allowed, 103 third downs faced).
7thCHI offense23 spots apart30thNO defense
2Bears run game vs Saints run defense
The Bears' run game ranks 11th in EPA per rush (-0.04, 270 rushes) against a Saints run defense ranked 28th (-0.02 allowed, 204 rushes faced).
11thCHI offense17 spots apart28thNO defense
3Bears big-play offense vs Saints defense against big plays
The Bears' big-play offense ranks 11th in explosive-play rate (9.8%, 624 plays) against a Saints defense against big plays ranked 27th (10.6% allowed, 508 plays faced).
11thCHI offense16 spots apart27thNO defense

When the Saints have the ballEdge CHI · +14 ranks

NO dropback offenseEPA per dropbackCHI pass defense

21st+0.02342 dropbacks

CHI +14

-0.03 allowed303 dropbacks faced7th

NO run gameEPA per rushCHI run defense

24th-0.13187 rushes

CHI +9

-0.08 allowed170 rushes faced15th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Bears have the ballEdge CHI · +17 ranks

CHI dropback offenseEPA per dropbackNO pass defense

12th+0.09354 dropbacks

CHI +10

+0.10 allowed304 dropbacks faced22nd

CHI run gameEPA per rushNO run defense

11th-0.04270 rushes

CHI +17

-0.02 allowed204 rushes faced28th

Third downEdge CHI · +23 ranks

NO third-down offensethird-down conversion rateCHI third-down defense

8th43.5%115 third downs

22.8% allowed92 third downs faced1st

CHI third-down offensethird-down conversion rateNO third-down defense

7th45.3%128 third downs

CHI +23

49.5% allowed103 third downs faced30th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge NO · +10 ranks

NO red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateCHI red-zone defense

6th66%29 trips

NO +8

56% allowed25 trips faced14th

CHI red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateNO red-zone defense

20th54%37 trips

NO +10

49% allowed35 trips faced10th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge CHI · +16 ranks

NO big-play offenseexplosive-play rateCHI defense against big plays

29th7.0%529 plays

9.9% allowed473 plays faced22nd

CHI big-play offenseexplosive-play rateNO defense against big plays

11th9.8%624 plays

CHI +16

10.6% allowed508 plays faced27th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge CHI · +11 ranks

NO pass protectionsack rateCHI pass rush

14th5.8% sacked342 dropbacks

CHI +11

8.6% of dropbacks303 dropbacks faced3rd

CHI pass protectionsack rateNO pass rush

13th5.6% sacked354 dropbacks

7.6% of dropbacks304 dropbacks faced8th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge CHI · +8 ranks

NO ball securityturnovers per gameCHI takeaway defense

27th1.6 giveaways a game8 games

CHI +8

1.1 takeaways a game9 games19th

CHI ball securityturnovers per gameNO takeaway defense

29th1.9 giveaways a game9 games

0.9 takeaways a game8 games28th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

AbsencesNO 1 · CHI 1 regulars out or doubtful

Saints2 listed

1 of them is a regular ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

DErik McCoyC97% offense · 8 wk
QCJ DonaldsonRB26% offense · 7 wk

Bears5 listed

1 of them is a regular ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

OUTMalik Muhammad IICB75% defense · 7 wk
QTyrique Stevenson Sr.CB67% defense · 8 wk
QLuther Burden IIIWR60% offense · 9 wk
OUTCase KeenumQB45% offense · 3 wk
OUTKyle MonangaiRB41% offense · 4 wk

Snap share is the average of the weeks each player was on the field this season. Full injury report ↓

Rest & travelCHI +7 days of rest · NO travels 834 mi

AwaySaints

7days since last game

834miles to get here

0time zones

Last: Sun wk 10 vs CAR · 15,807 mi flown this season

Normal week

Rest edge+7CHI daysTravel gap 834 mi

HomeBears

14days since last game

0miles · home

0time zones

Last: Sun wk 9 vs TB (W 27-24) · 6,181 mi flown this season

Off a bye

League splits for these situations ↓

Sample: NO 8 games, 529 offensive and 508 defensive plays · CHI 9 games, 624 offensive and 473 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Season to date · rank out of 32