Falcons at Vikings: Week 12 preview, odds and injuries

Week 12 · Sun, Nov 29 · U.S. Bank Stadium1 PM ET

at1 PMET · Fox

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 10:46 PM ET

The Atlanta Falcons (3-6) visit the Minnesota Vikings (6-2) on Sun, Nov 29, 1 PM ET at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN (Week 12, 2026 season), on Fox.

When and where is Falcons vs Vikings?

Sun, Nov 29, 1 PM ET at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN. TV: Fox.

Who is injured for Falcons vs Vikings?

Falcons: Anterio Thompson (DT, out, undisclosed) and Zachariah Branch (WR, doubtful, hamstring). Vikings: Kyler Murray (QB, doubtful, hamstring), Jauan Jennings (WR, questionable, calf), Theo Jackson (S, questionable) and Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins (DE, questionable, ankle).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Falcons at Vikings: Week 12 preview”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-11-29-atl-at-min (updated 2026-11-11).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

Regular season through week 11 · rank out of 32

Where this game will be decided

1Vikings pass defense vs Falcons dropback offense
The Vikings' pass defense ranks 1st in EPA per dropback (-0.18 allowed, 271 dropbacks faced) and faces a Falcons dropback offense ranked 28th (-0.13, 286 dropbacks).
28thATL offense27 spots apart1stMIN defense
2Vikings third-down defense vs Falcons third-down offense
The Vikings' third-down defense ranks 2nd in third-down conversion rate (32.4% allowed, 108 third downs faced) and faces a Falcons third-down offense ranked 28th (35.2%, 105 third downs).
28thATL offense26 spots apart2ndMIN defense
3Vikings takeaway defense vs Falcons ball security
The Vikings' takeaway defense ranks 5th in turnovers per game (1.5 takeaways a game, 8 games) and faces a Falcons ball security ranked 28th (1.7 giveaways a game, 9 games).
28thATL offense23 spots apart5thMIN defenseSmall sample, read with care Why sample size matters

When the Falcons have the ballEdge MIN · +27 ranks

ATL dropback offenseEPA per dropbackMIN pass defense

28th-0.13286 dropbacks

MIN +27

-0.18 allowed271 dropbacks faced1st

ATL run gameEPA per rushMIN run defense

8th-0.00239 rushes

-0.11 allowed210 rushes faced11th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Vikings have the ballEdge ATL · +12 ranks

MIN dropback offenseEPA per dropbackATL pass defense

27th-0.11266 dropbacks

ATL +12

+0.04 allowed345 dropbacks faced15th

MIN run gameEPA per rushATL run defense

30th-0.23181 rushes

ATL +9

-0.06 allowed228 rushes faced21st

Third downEdge MIN · +26 ranks

ATL third-down offensethird-down conversion rateMIN third-down defense

28th35.2%105 third downs

MIN +26

32.4% allowed108 third downs faced2nd

MIN third-down offensethird-down conversion rateATL third-down defense

28th35.2%105 third downs

43.3% allowed120 third downs faced23rd

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge MIN · +13 ranks

ATL red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateMIN red-zone defense

14th62%26 trips

MIN +13

26% allowed19 trips faced1st

MIN red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateATL red-zone defense

25th50%18 trips

67% allowed33 trips faced24th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsNo big edge

ATL big-play offenseexplosive-play rateMIN defense against big plays

15th9.5%525 plays

8.7% allowed481 plays faced11th

MIN big-play offenseexplosive-play rateATL defense against big plays

19th8.7%447 plays

9.6% allowed573 plays faced19th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge MIN · +11 ranks

ATL pass protectionsack rateMIN pass rush

12th5.6% sacked286 dropbacks

MIN +11

10.7% of dropbacks271 dropbacks faced1st

MIN pass protectionsack rateATL pass rush

26th8.6% sacked266 dropbacks

ATL +8

5.8% of dropbacks345 dropbacks faced18th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge MIN · +23 ranks

ATL ball securityturnovers per gameMIN takeaway defense

28th1.7 giveaways a game9 games

MIN +23

1.5 takeaways a game8 games5th

MIN ball securityturnovers per gameATL takeaway defense

10th1.0 giveaways a game8 games

MIN +9

1.1 takeaways a game9 games19th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

AbsencesATL 0 · MIN 1 regulars out or doubtful

Falcons2 listed

0 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

DZachariah BranchWR24% offense · 8 wk
OUTAnterio ThompsonDTno snaps

Vikings4 listed

1 of them is a regular ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

DKyler MurrayQB86% offense · 6 wk
QJauan JenningsWR67% offense · 6 wk
QTheo JacksonS59% defense · 7 wk
QTyrion Ingram-DawkinsDE59% defense · 8 wk

Snap share is the average of the weeks each player was on the field this season. Full injury report ↓

Rest & travelATL +7 days of rest · ATL travels 907 mi

AwayFalcons

14days since last game

907miles to get here

1time zones

Last: Sun wk 10 vs KC · 12,887 mi flown this season

Off a bye

Rest edge+7ATL daysTravel gap 907 mi

HomeVikings

7days since last game

0miles · home

0time zones

Last: Sun wk 11 at SF · Mexico City · 6,529 mi flown this season

Normal week

League splits for these situations ↓

Sample: ATL 9 games, 525 offensive and 573 defensive plays · MIN 8 games, 447 offensive and 481 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Season to date · rank out of 32