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Week 12 · Mon, Nov 30 · Raymond James Stadium8:15 PM ET
At a glance

The Carolina Panthers (3-5) visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-6) on Mon, Nov 30, 8:15 PM ET at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL (Week 12, 2026 season), on ESPN.

When and where is Panthers vs Buccaneers?

Mon, Nov 30, 8:15 PM ET at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL. TV: ESPN.

Who is injured for Panthers vs Buccaneers?

Panthers: Bobby Okereke (LB, questionable, foot), Damien Lewis (G, questionable, knee), Jaelan Phillips (LB, questionable, hamstring) and Will Lee III (CB, questionable, hamstring). Buccaneers: Yaya Diaby (LB, out, knee - mcl) and Antoine Winfield Jr. (S, questionable, ankle).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Panthers at Buccaneers: Week 12 preview”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-11-30-car-at-tb (updated 2026-11-11).

Regular season through week 11 · rank out of 32

Where this game will be decided

  1. 1Buccaneers logoBuccaneers run game vs Panthers run defense

    The Buccaneers' run game ranks 10th in EPA per rush (-0.01, 263 rushes) against a Panthers run defense ranked 25th (-0.03 allowed, 210 rushes faced).

    10thTB offense15 spots apart25thCAR defense
  2. 2Buccaneers logoBuccaneers third-down defense vs Panthers third-down offense

    The Buccaneers' third-down defense ranks 6th in third-down conversion rate (34.5% allowed, 113 third downs faced) and faces a Panthers third-down offense ranked 21st (37.7%, 106 third downs).

    21stCAR offense15 spots apart6thTB defense
  3. 3Buccaneers logoBuccaneers takeaway defense vs Panthers ball security

    The Buccaneers' takeaway defense ranks 1st in turnovers per game (2.1 takeaways a game, 9 games) and faces a Panthers ball security ranked 19th (1.3 giveaways a game, 8 games).

    19thCAR offense18 spots apart1stTB defenseSmall sample, read with care
    Why sample size matters
When the Panthers have the ballEdge TB · +11 ranks
CAR dropback offenseEPA per dropbackTB pass defense
13th+0.08348 dropbacks
TB +11
-0.17 allowed335 dropbacks faced2nd
CAR run gameEPA per rushTB run defense
12th-0.04176 rushes
-0.16 allowed180 rushes faced5th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Buccaneers have the ballEdge TB · +15 ranks
TB dropback offenseEPA per dropbackCAR pass defense
30th-0.20293 dropbacks
CAR +10
+0.07 allowed308 dropbacks faced20th
TB run gameEPA per rushCAR run defense
10th-0.01263 rushes
TB +15
-0.03 allowed210 rushes faced25th
Third downEdge TB · +15 ranks
CAR third-down offensethird-down conversion rateTB third-down defense
21st37.7%106 third downs
TB +15
34.5% allowed113 third downs faced6th
TB third-down offensethird-down conversion rateCAR third-down defense
23rd37.1%124 third downs
47.7% allowed107 third downs faced29th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneNo big edge
CAR red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateTB red-zone defense
6th66%29 trips
48% allowed23 trips faced7th
TB red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateCAR red-zone defense
25th50%30 trips
75% allowed24 trips faced29th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge TB · +10 ranks
CAR big-play offenseexplosive-play rateTB defense against big plays
14th9.5%524 plays
TB +10
7.2% allowed515 plays faced4th
TB big-play offenseexplosive-play rateCAR defense against big plays
12th9.7%556 plays
7.3% allowed518 plays faced5th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksNo big edge
CAR pass protectionsack rateTB pass rush
23rd7.5% sacked348 dropbacks
5.1% of dropbacks335 dropbacks faced26th
TB pass protectionsack rateCAR pass rush
29th9.2% sacked293 dropbacks
3.9% of dropbacks308 dropbacks faced32nd

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge TB · +18 ranks
CAR ball securityturnovers per gameTB takeaway defense
19th1.3 giveaways a game8 games
TB +18
2.1 takeaways a game9 games1st
TB ball securityturnovers per gameCAR takeaway defense
24th1.6 giveaways a game9 games
1.1 takeaways a game8 games17th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

AbsencesCAR 0 · TB 0 regulars out or doubtful
Panthers logoPanthers4 listed

0 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

Buccaneers logoBuccaneers2 listed

0 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

Snap share is the average of the weeks each player was on the field this season. Full injury report ↓

Rest & travelSame rest · CAR travels 510 mi
Panthers logoAwayPanthers
8days since last game
510miles to get here
0time zones

Last: Sun wk 11 vs BAL · 3,713 mi flown this season

Normal week
Rest edgeEvensame restTravel gap 510 mi
Buccaneers logoHomeBuccaneers
8days since last game
0miles · home
0time zones

Last: Sun wk 11 at DET · Detroit · 6,435 mi flown this season

Normal week

League splits for these situations ↓

Sample: CAR 8 games, 524 offensive and 518 defensive plays · TB 9 games, 556 offensive and 515 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Season to date · rank out of 32

Tale of the tape

Panthers logoCARTBBuccaneers logo
9th+0.042Offense EPA / play-0.10728th
13th+0.084Dropback EPA-0.19630th
12th-0.041Rush EPA-0.00810th
16th42.7%Offense success rate40.8%26th
4th+3.1%Pass rate over expected-10.4%31st
21st+0.030Defense EPA allowed-0.1641st
20th+0.073Pass defense EPA-0.1682nd
25th-0.032Run defense EPA-0.1585th
23rd44.4%Defense success allowed39.8%3rd
22nd17.4To QBs14.028th
2nd28.5To RBs15.832nd
16th32.4To WRs30.023rd
16th13.5To TEs14.712th

Form

Last six results

Already met this season: Week 7, 43-13

Injury report

League report
Panthers logoPanthers4 listed
Buccaneers logoBuccaneers2 listed

Expected starters

ExpectedEvery game →

Depth chart rank 1, adjusted for the injury report. Kickoff Mon, Nov 30, 8:15 PM ET.

WeatherTBDForecast closer to kickoff
VenueRaymond James StadiumTampa, FL
BroadcastESPN8:15 PM ET · Mon, Nov 30

Travel & rest

Travel & rest board
Panthers logoAwayPanthers
8days since last game
510miles to get here
0time zones

Last: Sun wk 11 vs BAL · 3,713 mi flown this season

Normal week
Rest edgeEvensame restTravel gap 510 mi
Buccaneers logoHomeBuccaneers
8days since last game
0miles · home
0time zones

Last: Sun wk 11 at DET · Detroit · 6,435 mi flown this season

Normal week

Week 12 around the league

15 other games