Pigskin NightlyWeek 10
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Green Bay PackersMike's Mid-Week Chat | Nov. 11, 2026Texans DeskTexans offense posts its best EPA per play of the year in Week 99 min agoRams DeskRams pass on 58% of early downs again after a 41% week, and Puka Nacua feeds on it10 min agoInjuryGarrett Wilson: Questionable → Out11 min agoPanthers DeskCarolina's offense rebounds in Week 9 after two negative-EPA games19 min agoFalcons DeskFalcons' eighth-ranked run game has slipped as the offense sits 25th20 min agoInjuryDenzel Boston: Active → Questionable27 min agoEagles DeskEagles run defense ranks 31st while the offense stalls at a 24% success rate29 min agoCommanders DeskCommanders pass on 66% of early downs in Week 9 and the offense slides to -0.177 EPA a play30 min agoCarolina PanthersPanthers open practice windows for three, among other movesBaltimore RavensMailbag: Will Jacoby Brissett Turn the Ravens' Season Around?Buccaneers DeskBuccaneers defense leads the league in EPA allowed while the passing game ranks 30th39 min agoBears DeskBears pass on early downs 64% in Week 9 and the offense stalls40 min agoSan Francisco 49ersWays to Watch and Listen: 49ers vs. Cowboys | Week 10Pro Football RumorsColts Designate DE Arden Key For ReturnNew York GiantsArvell Reese named NFC Defensive Player of the WeekBrowns DeskBrowns rank 30th against the run, and the offense fell to 33% success in Week 949 min agoHouston TexansHouston Texans QB C.J. Stroud Named AFC Offensive Player Of The WeekLos Angeles RamsLos Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals: How to watch, listen to and live stream Week 10New York GiantsGame Preview: Nothing worthwhile comes easy for first-place GiantsGreen Bay PackersPackers QB Jordan Love named NFC Offensive Player of the WeekBuffalo BillsBills roster moves Nov. 11
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2026 season · box score + nflverse play-by-play

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Player one
Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI
Player two
Patrick MahomesQB · KC
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Caleb WilliamsQB · CHIPatrick MahomesQB · KC
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Caleb Williams
Bears logoChicago Bears

Caleb Williams

QBpos#18jersey24age6'1"height226lbs3seasons

USC · 2024 draft, round 1, pick 1

VS5of 8 shown metrics led3
Patrick Mahomes
Chiefs logoKansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes

QBpos#15jersey31age6'2"height225lbs10seasons

Texas Tech · 2017 draft, round 1, pick 10

Questionable · Elbow

Across the 8 shown metrics with numbers for at least two players (2026 season, per game): Williams leads in 5 and Mahomes leads in 3. A count of who is ahead, not a verdict: the metrics overlap and do not weigh the same.

Usage

WilliamsMahomes

Percentile chips: vs 34 QBs who played half the games, 2026 season

+6.2572ndTotal EPA per game+5.8369th

Passing

WilliamsMahomes

Percentile chips: vs 35 QBs who have 12+ dropbacks a week, 2026 season

257.776thPass yards per game254.673rd
1.346thTouchdowns per game1.866th
0.827thInterceptions per game · lower is better0.573rd
+0.19481stEPA per dropback+0.15773rd
+6.490thCPOE · completion % over expected+2.273rd
6.2%56thSack rate · lower is better3.8%84th

Rushing

WilliamsMahomes
24.2Rush yards per game10.6
Advanced metrics14 more · tap to open

Usage

6Games with stats8
97.7%44thSnap share · average share of team snaps in the games he played99.3%74th
39.275thPlays with EPA per game36.543rd

Passing

68.7%87thCompletion %67.3%79th
7.979thYards per attempt7.773rd
50.7%84thSuccess rate50.3%81st
8.059thaDOT · average depth of target5.61st

Rushing

5.2Carries per game · official rush attempts2.9
1.3Designed runs in EPA per game · QB scrambles count as dropbacks, kneels are left out0.3
4.7Yards per carry3.7
0.3Rush TD per game0.1
25.0%Success rate50.0%

Advanced rows are not part of the “metrics led” count. Pick exactly what you want under “Choose”.

Total EPA by week (bars) and running total (lines)Caleb WilliamsPatrick Mahomes
●Wk 1●Wk 2●Wk 3●Wk 4Wk 5●Wk 6●Wk 7●Wk 8●Wk 9

Expected points added across every role (passing, rushing, receiving) in the nflverse play-by-play model, in the period you picked. Lines run the total; a missing bar is a week without plays. The dot marks the best week among the 2 players.

Matchups to start with

top passers · most targeted

Box score totals from ESPN (regular season and playoffs; “last 4” is each player's four most recent games with a box score line). EPA, success rate, CPOE, aDOT, target and air-yard share from the nflverse play-by-play over the same games; snap share from nflverse snap counts. EPA per dropback includes sacks and scrambles. Carries are the official ESPN rush attempts; EPA per designed run leaves out quarterback scrambles (they count as dropbacks) and kneel-downs, so for a quarterback the two counts differ. Per opportunity divides counting stats by nflverse dropbacks (passing), ESPN targets (receiving) and ESPN carries (rushing); other counts go per game. Percentiles rank each value among players at the same position with enough volume in the same period (the same groups as the player cards: QBs 12 dropbacks a week, RBs 4.5 carries, wide receivers 2.5 targets, tight ends 2, defenders half the games; fewer than 8 peers, no percentile). The bars compare the players on the page only, not the league.