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Eagles DeskThe TapeGame center →

Eagles lose a fumble and a 53-yard gain in eight seconds, fall 27-10 at Washington

Tanner McKee was sacked five times for 35 yards, and the Eagles ran at 3.1 yards a carry in a sixth straight loss.

Tanner McKeeThe TapeL 10–27atCOMMANDERSQBTanner McKee
By Eagles Desk, Pigskin NightlyNov 7, 1:25 PM ET3 min read

The deciding stretch

The game turned on two plays in the third quarter, at 2:59 and 2:51. On the first, Tanner McKee was sacked at the Washington 44 for a loss of 7 yards, and he fumbled. D.Armstrong made the sack and C.Omenihu recovered at the Washington 40. The Eagles' win probability dropped 13 percentage points on that snap.

The Commanders then ran one play. J.Daniels threw deep right to T.Burks for 53 yards, down to the Philadelphia 7. A defensive penalty for illegal contact on Q.Mitchell was declined. That play cost the Eagles another 9 points of win probability.

Philadelphia led 10-3 after the first quarter and never scored again. The Commanders scored 10 in the second quarter, 3 in the third and 11 in the fourth, and finished 27-10.

The swing

The fourth quarter held two more swings. At 9:43, McKee threw short right to Elijah Mitchell, who was pushed out of bounds at the Washington 13 for no gain. That cost 9 points of win probability. At 9:01, J.Elliott's 41-yard field goal try hit the left upright and was no good, a loss of 8 more.

The Eagles ended the day 1-for-2 in the red zone. Washington went 2-for-3. Philadelphia turned the ball over twice and Washington once.

The Eagles kept the ball longer, 33:31 to 26:29, and had more plays, 68 to 58. They did not turn that into points. They scored on 2 of 12 drives, one for a touchdown. Washington scored on 6 of 11, two of them touchdowns, including an 11-play, 89-yard march.

Who moved the needle

The rushing numbers explain much of it. Philadelphia ran for 91 yards at 3.1 per carry. Washington ran for 135 at 5.2. Saquon Barkley carried 13 times for 30 yards, 2.3 a carry, and scored the Eagles' lone rushing touchdown. Elijah Mitchell carried 11 times for 34 yards, with a long of 9.

In EPA, or expected points added, which measures how much each play raises or lowers a team's scoring chances, the Eagles averaged -0.191 a play. Washington averaged 0.023. On rushes, the Eagles were at -0.152 and Washington at 0.061. Success rate was close, 40 percent for Philadelphia and 41 for Washington. The gap came from the size of the failures.

McKee completed 23 of 34 passes for 212 yards with no touchdowns and one interception. The five sacks took 35 yards, leaving the Eagles 177 net passing yards and 4.5 yards per pass. His 43 plays totaled -9.2 EPA, the worst on the team. Elijah Mitchell's six receiving plays added up to -5.0. The best EPA came from Hollywood Brown (2.5 on 2 plays), Barkley (2.0 on one catch, a 24-yard gain) and Dallas Goedert (1.9 on 4 plays).

Makai Lemon caught 6 of 9 targets for 57 yards. Eli Stowers caught all 3 of his targets for 53 yards, with a long of 34. The Eagles were 5-for-15 on third down and 1-for-2 on fourth. The Commanders did not face a fourth down.

The pass rush produced some answers. Jalen Carter and Nolan Smith Jr. each had a sack and a tackle for loss, and Smith added 2 quarterback hits. Jeremiah Trotter Jr. led with 10 tackles, and Andrew Mukuba had 9. Washington still averaged 6.6 yards per pass and was penalized 9 times for 70 yards, against 6 for 30 by the Eagles, and the defense could not turn that into stops.

Where it leaves them

The Eagles are 2-6 with a six-game losing streak. They have scored 137 points and allowed 202, a differential of -65. They are 1-3 at home and 1-3 on the road, and they sit fourth in the NFC East behind the Giants at 4-2-1, the Cowboys at 3-5 and the Commanders at 2-4-1.

The next game is Sunday, Nov. 8, at 1:00 PM ET on Fox, at home against the New York Giants, the division leader. Philadelphia is 1-3 at home this season.

How this was reported. Every number in this piece comes from the play-by-play, drive, injury and snap data Pigskin Nightly collects for every game. EPA (expected points added) is from the open nflverse model. We do not use anonymous sources or invent quotes. Read how we write; spotted an error? Tell us and we will correct it in the open.