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Eagles lose Joe Milton's second-quarter fumble and the game to the Giants, 19-11

A strip sack at midfield, a 7-sack night and a 24 percent success rate left the Eagles at 2-7 after Giants rushing was held to 2.6 yards a carry.

14Joe MiltonThe TapeL 11–19vsGIANTSQBJoe Milton
By Eagles Desk, Pigskin NightlyNov 8, 6:10 PM ET3 min read

The deciding stretch

The game turned in 44 seconds of the second quarter. At 14:21, Giants returner C.Jones muffed a punt and Eagles long snapper R.Underwood recovered it at the New York 47. That play moved win probability 11 percentage points toward Philadelphia.

The next snap took it back. At 13:37, A.Reese sacked Joe Milton for a loss of 8 and stripped the ball, and M.McFadden recovered it at the 50. Win probability fell 10 points. The Eagles had a short field and gave it away on the first play.

The Giants then ran a 14-play, 76-yard touchdown drive, their longest of the day. It was their only touchdown drive besides the one in the third quarter. The rest of their 19 points came from field goals, five scoring drives in all.

The swing

The Eagles had the better of the early field position and still finished with 11 points. They scored 8 in the first quarter, helped by a 30-yard pass interference call on D.Banks at the New York 33 that added 9 points of win probability. They then scored nothing in the second and third quarters and got 3 in the fourth.

Third down is where the drives died. Philadelphia converted 5 of 18, and six of its 13 drives ended in three plays or fewer. The Giants went 6 of 17 on third down, but they held the ball for 34:45 against 25:15 for the Eagles.

The other swing came in the third quarter. At 4:57, J.Winston hit D.Mooney on a deep right throw for 27 yards to the Eagles 19, a 10-point swing against Philadelphia. The Giants scored their second touchdown on that drive.

Philadelphia also went 1 for 3 on fourth down, so the aggressive calls did not pay off either. The Giants went 1 for 1.

Who moved the needle

Expected points added, or EPA, measures how much each play changes a team's likely scoring. The Eagles finished at minus 0.287 per play, and the Giants at minus 0.071. Philadelphia's success rate was 24 percent against 30 percent for New York.

Milton carried the largest share of that. His passing line was 18 of 34 for 169 yards, 5.0 yards a pass, with no touchdowns and a 66.9 rating. He was sacked 7 times for 41 yards, and his total EPA across 46 plays was minus 13.7, the worst on the team. He did run for 64 yards on 9 carries, a 7.1 average, with a long of 24.

Saquon Barkley gave back what Milton gained on the ground. He had 13 carries for 22 yards, 1.7 a carry, with one touchdown, and his rushing EPA was minus 4.5. Elijah Mitchell added 6 yards on 3 carries.

The receivers did what they could. Makai Lemon caught 6 of 9 targets for 61 yards and led the team at plus 2.5 EPA. Dallas Goedert caught 5 for 50 at plus 1.4. Darius Cooper had 8 targets and 2 catches for 25 yards.

The defense held the Giants to 80 rushing yards at 2.6 a carry. Zack Baun had 2 sacks and 3 tackles for loss, Jeremiah Trotter Jr. made 11 tackles with 3 for loss, and Jordan Davis and Jonathan Greenard each had a sack.

Where it leaves them

The Eagles are 2-7 and have lost seven straight. They are 1-4 at home and last in the NFC East, behind the Giants at 5-2-1, the Cowboys at 4-5 and the Commanders at 2-5-1. They rank 16th in the conference.

The next game is at Lincoln Financial Field against the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday, Nov. 22, at 4:25 p.m. ET on CBS, in Week 11.

How this was reported. Every number in this piece comes from the play-by-play, drive, injury and snap data Pigskin Nightly collects for every game. EPA (expected points added) is from the open nflverse model. We do not use anonymous sources or invent quotes. Read how we write; spotted an error? Tell us and we will correct it in the open.