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Giants give up a 32-yard touchdown with 57 seconds left and lose to Commanders

J.Daniels found S.Diggs over the middle for the winning score, and J.J. McCarthy's interception 23 seconds later ended Big Blue's last chance.

J.J. McCarthyThe TapeL 21–24vsCOMMANDERSQBJ.J. McCarthy
By Giants Desk, Pigskin NightlyNov 13, 12:20 AM ET3 min read

The deciding stretch

The game turned on a no-huddle shotgun snap with 0:57 left in the fourth quarter. J.Daniels threw short middle to S.Diggs, who ran it in for a 32-yard touchdown. D.Stevens kicked the extra point, and the Commanders led 24-21. The Giants' win probability on that one play fell 49 percent.

The Giants had been in front. J.J. McCarthy hit Isaiah Likely on a deep middle route for 66 yards and a touchdown at 8:13, and that play moved win probability 37 percent in New York's favor. It put the Giants up 21-17 and gave the home crowd at MetLife Stadium most of a quarter to protect the lead.

They did not protect it. The Commanders needed only the one throw to finish the job.

The swing

The last two swings came within 23 seconds of each other. After the Diggs touchdown, McCarthy's deep middle pass intended for Malik Nabers was intercepted by R.Douglas at the Washington 11 at 0:34. That play cost the Giants another 20 percent of win probability and ended the game in effect.

There was one earlier chance. At 5:31, Daniels threw deep left for C.Okonkwo, and J.Holland intercepted it at the New York goal line. The replay official reviewed the touchback ruling and reversed it. The play was worth 18 percent of win probability to the Giants, but they did not turn it into points before the Commanders got the ball back.

On third down the gap was clear. The Giants converted 4 of 12, and the Commanders converted 7 of 14. The Giants also committed 6 penalties for 62 yards, against 4 for 17 by Washington.

Who moved the needle

Protection was not the problem. McCarthy was sacked once for 10 yards, and Shelby Harris sacked Daniels once for 14. McCarthy finished 23 of 36 for 293 yards at 8.1 yards per attempt, with one touchdown, one interception and a passer rating of 86.9. He also ran six times for 34 yards.

Likely did the most damage. He caught 9 of 11 targets for 127 yards and the 66-yard score. Malachi Fields had 3 catches for 62 yards, a 20.7 average. Nabers caught 5 of 7 targets for 44 yards, and his longest was 37.

Cam Skattebo carried 18 times for 78 yards, 4.3 a carry, and scored two touchdowns. The Giants ran for 116 yards as a team, and the Commanders ran for 106. The Giants' longest drive went 16 plays and 72 yards for a touchdown. Washington's longest took six plays and 77 yards for a score.

On defense, Arvell Reese led the Giants with 13 tackles, and Micah McFadden had 10, one for a loss. Kayvon Thibodeaux had 8 tackles but no sacks or quarterback hits. Harris, with 4 tackles, had the Giants' only sack and quarterback hit in the box score.

The Giants outgained Washington 399 yards to 341 and had 21 first downs to 20. They also went 2 of 4 in the red zone. Washington was 1 of 1. The Giants turned the ball over twice, and all three of their scoring drives ended in touchdowns, but the Commanders had four scoring drives to the Giants' three.

Where it leaves them

The Giants are 5-3-1 with a 203-196 points edge, a point differential of plus 7. They hold the No. 3 seed in the conference and first place in the division, ahead of the Cowboys at 4-5 and the Commanders at 3-5-1. The Eagles are 2-7. The loss ended a stretch without a defeat and puts the Giants at L1. They are 3-2 at home and 2-1-1 on the road.

Next up is the Jacksonville Jaguars at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, Nov. 22, at 4:25 p.m. ET on CBS. It is a Week 11 game, and the Jaguars are listed as 6-point favorites.

How this was reported. Every number in this piece comes from the play-by-play, drive, injury and snap data Pigskin Nightly collects for every game. EPA (expected points added) is from the open nflverse model. We do not use anonymous sources or invent quotes. Read how we write; spotted an error? Tell us and we will correct it in the open.