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2026 season · box score + nflverse play-by-play

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Player one
#18Jack StrandQB · ATL
Player two
Patrick MahomesQB · KC
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#18Jack StrandQB · ATLPatrick MahomesQB · KC
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#18
Falcons logoAtlanta Falcons

Jack Strand

QBpos#18jersey22age6'5"height240lbsRrookie

Minnesota St Moorhead

VS1of 8 shown metrics led7
Patrick Mahomes
Chiefs logoKansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes

QBpos#15jersey31age6'2"height225lbs10seasons

Texas Tech · 2017 draft, round 1, pick 10

Questionable · Elbow

Across the 8 shown metrics with numbers for at least two players (2026 season, per opportunity): Mahomes leads in 7 and Strand leads in 1. A count of who is ahead, not a verdict: the metrics overlap and do not weigh the same.

Usage

StrandMahomes

Percentile chips: vs 34 QBs who played half the games, 2026 season

-11.380Total EPA per game+5.82769th

Passing

StrandMahomes

Percentile chips: vs 35 QBs who have 12+ dropbacks a week, 2026 season

3.11Pass yards per dropback7.0270th
0.000Touchdowns per dropback0.04873rd
0.053Interceptions per dropback · lower is better0.01473rd
-0.599EPA per dropback+0.15773rd
-21.3CPOE · completion % over expected+2.273rd
10.5%Sack rate · lower is better3.8%84th

Rushing

StrandMahomes
8.00Rush yards per carry3.70
Advanced metrics14 more · tap to open

Usage

1Games with stats8
42.0%Snap share · average share of team snaps in the games he played99.3%74th
19.0Plays with EPA per game36.543rd

Passing

53.3%Completion %67.3%79th
3.9Yards per attempt7.773rd
31.6%Success rate50.3%81st
3.5aDOT · average depth of target5.61st

Rushing

2.0Carries per game · official rush attempts2.9
0.0Designed runs in EPA per game · QB scrambles count as dropbacks, kneels are left out0.3
8.0Yards per carry3.7
0.000Rush TD per carry0.043
–EPA per designed run+0.584
–Success rate50.0%
0.00010+ yard runs per carry0.043

Advanced rows are not part of the “metrics led” count. Pick exactly what you want under “Choose”.

Total EPA by week (bars) and running total (lines)Jack StrandPatrick Mahomes
●Wk 1●Wk 2●Wk 3●Wk 4Wk 5●Wk 6●Wk 7●Wk 8●Wk 9

Expected points added across every role (passing, rushing, receiving) in the nflverse play-by-play model, in the period you picked. Lines run the total; a missing bar is a week without plays. The dot marks the best week among the 2 players.

Matchups to start with

top passers · most targeted
Brock Purdy vs Trevor LawrenceJoe Burrow vs Josh AllenJared Goff vs Caleb WilliamsC.J. Stroud vs Jordan LoveCeeDee Lamb vs Jaxon Smith-NjigbaMatthew Golden vs Puka NacuaMichael Wilson vs Amon-Ra St. BrownChris Olave vs Malik Nabers

Box score totals from ESPN (regular season and playoffs; “last 4” is each player's four most recent games with a box score line). EPA, success rate, CPOE, aDOT, target and air-yard share from the nflverse play-by-play over the same games; snap share from nflverse snap counts. EPA per dropback includes sacks and scrambles. Carries are the official ESPN rush attempts; EPA per designed run leaves out quarterback scrambles (they count as dropbacks) and kneel-downs, so for a quarterback the two counts differ. Per opportunity divides counting stats by nflverse dropbacks (passing), ESPN targets (receiving) and ESPN carries (rushing); other counts go per game. Percentiles rank each value among players at the same position with enough volume in the same period (the same groups as the player cards: QBs 12 dropbacks a week, RBs 4.5 carries, wide receivers 2.5 targets, tight ends 2, defenders half the games; fewer than 8 peers, no percentile). The bars compare the players on the page only, not the league.