Pigskin NightlyWeek 10
Latest
WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
Expected points added per play · 2026 regular season · last 4 games per team · 4th quarter · trailing

The EPA map

Span
Season
Reset all

Small sample: the median team has 37 offensive plays in this view, so a few snaps move the rates a lot.

Bottom lineBills have the best balance (+2.153 net per play). Best offense: Bills (+1.206); stingiest defense: Steelers (-1.110 allowed). 6 of 31 teams are above average on both sides.

How to read this chart
One logo = one team.
Left to right is its offense: EPA per play, the expected points each snap adds. Further right = a better offense.
Bottom to top is its defense,
measured as EPA allowed per play. For a defense lower is better, so the scale is flipped: the higher a logo sits, the less its defense gives up.
The dashed lines
are the league average on each side. Top right = above average on both; bottom left = below average on both.
Tap a logo
to open the team. The table below has the same numbers; switch it to “All columns” for the dropback and rush splits.
Good offense
good defense
Bad offense
good defense
Bad offense
bad defense
Good offense
bad defense
-0.500.00+0.50+1.00+1.00+0.500.00-0.50-1.00Bills logoSteelers logoTexans logoPackers logoBuccaneers logoBroncos logoTitans logoBrowns logoGiants logoJaguars logo49ers logoCommanders logoRams logoRaiders logoPanthers logoCardinals logoDolphins logoFalcons logoCowboys logoSeahawks logoSaints logoPatriots logoJets logoColts logoVikings logoBengals logoChiefs logoLions logoChargers logoEagles logoRavens logo
Offense EPA per play →↑ Better defense · EPA allowed per play, lower is better

All 31 teams

Default order: net EPA per play (offense minus defense). Tap a column to sort. Overview columns: pick “All columns” above for the splits.
Sample: weeks 5–9 · 1–4 games per team · 1,161 offensive plays, 763 defensive · source: nflverse play-by-play
#???
1Bills logoBills7-1+2.153+1.206-0.9471
2Steelers logoSteelers6-2+1.224+0.113-1.1101
3Texans logoTexans3-5+1.132+0.157-0.9751
4Packers logoPackers6-3+0.899-0.102-1.0011
5Buccaneers logoBuccaneers3-6+0.879+0.098-0.7812
6Broncos logoBroncos7-2+0.854+0.762-0.0922
7Titans logoTitans1-7+0.693+0.238-0.4544
8Browns logoBrowns5-4+0.690+0.011-0.6783
9Giants logoGiants5-2-1+0.635+0.399-0.2352
10Jaguars logoJaguars6-2+0.453+0.232-0.2202
1149ers logo49ers7-1+0.414+0.043-0.3702
12Commanders logoCommanders2-5-1+0.397-0.087-0.4842
13Rams logoRams5-4+0.273-0.053-0.3261
14Raiders logoRaiders4-5+0.273+0.243-0.0304
15Panthers logoPanthers3-5+0.237+0.089-0.1483
16Cardinals logoCardinals3-6+0.224+0.242+0.0184
17Dolphins logoDolphins1-7+0.187+0.175-0.0123
18Falcons logoFalcons3-6+0.122-0.168-0.2903
19Cowboys logoCowboys4-5+0.052-0.002-0.0542
20Seahawks logoSeahawks5-4+0.044-0.010-0.0542
21Saints logoSaints3-5-0.008-0.208-0.2003
22Patriots logoPatriots5-4-0.032-0.030+0.0022
23Jets logoJets2-7-0.130-0.028+0.1034
24Colts logoColts2-7-0.169-0.372-0.2034
25Vikings logoVikings6-2-0.171-0.041+0.1293
26Bengals logoBengals6-2-0.185+0.868+1.0531
27Chiefs logoChiefs6-2-0.220-0.085+0.1352
28Lions logoLions6-2-0.290+0.763+1.0531
29Chargers logoChargers0-8-0.362-0.258+0.1044
30Eagles logoEagles2-7-0.378-0.179+0.1994
31Ravens logoRavens4-5-1.025-0.611+0.4143

EPA (expected points added) values each play by how much it changed the expected points of the drive, given down, distance, field position and time. Dropback EPA covers passes, sacks and scrambles; rush EPA covers designed runs only. Success rate counts plays with positive EPA. PROE is pass rate over expected: how often a team throws compared with what an average team would do in the same spot. Regular season only, two-point tries included as in the season totals. Home and away, score and last-4 filters apply from each team's side: a defense's “leading” plays are the ones its team led before the snap. The score before each snap comes from the ESPN play log. Source: nflverse play-by-play.