Pigskin NightlyWeek 10
Latest
InjuryPuka Nacua: Questionable → Doubtfuljust nowSeahawks DeskSeahawks earned 17-3 over Cardinals, then punted on fourth-and-1 anyway14 min agoInjuryKirk Cousins: Active → Cleared16 min agoESPNJeff Saturday: Kirk Cousins trade a 'great fit' for Vikings and RaidersTampa Bay BuccaneersTop Play Breakdown: Tykee Smith's Interception Against the BearsInjuryPuka Nacua: Doubtful → Questionable33 min agoESPNSources: Bills fill major need at safety, trade for Titans' Amani HookerPro Football RumorsRaiders To Trade QB Kirk Cousins Back To VikingsLas Vegas RaidersPower Rankings: A look at where Raiders rank after Week 9 clash in The BayInjuryCam Skattebo: Out → Questionable48 min agoPro Football RumorsTitans To Trade S Amani Hooker To BillsCommanders DeskJayden Daniels Carries a Positive EPA Into a Giants Defense Ranked 11th54 min agoESPN'Great move': Rich Eisen reacts to 49ers' trade for Keenan AllenJaguars DeskJaguars beat Ravens 33-10 and the snaps say it was no accident1 h agoInjuryJalen Travis: Questionable → Doubtful1 h agoPro Football RumorsJaguars Made ‘Significant Offer’ For Jets DE Will McDonaldMinnesota VikingsVikings Visit V.A. Medical Centers & Host Military Baby ShowerBengals DeskBengals earned a road win in Atlanta from the first deep ball to the last punt1 h agoPittsburgh SteelersSteelers at Bengals: How to watch/listen to the gamePittsburgh SteelersWeek 10 Blog: On the huntAtlanta FalconsTracking the NFC South: Each team in division has 3 winsMiami DolphinsDolphins Cancer Challenge Honors Top DCC XVI Fundraisers
WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
Expected points added per play · 2026 regular season · weeks 1–9 · 4th down · 3rd quarter

The EPA map

Span
Season
Reset all

Small sample: the median team has 2 offensive plays in this view, so a few snaps move the rates a lot.

Bottom lineBears have the best balance (+5.688 net per play). Best offense: Commanders (+3.328); stingiest defense: Chiefs (-3.620 allowed). 7 of 21 teams are above average on both sides.

How to read this chart
One logo = one team.
Left to right is its offense: EPA per play, the expected points each snap adds. Further right = a better offense.
Bottom to top is its defense,
measured as EPA allowed per play. For a defense lower is better, so the scale is flipped: the higher a logo sits, the less its defense gives up.
The dashed lines
are the league average on each side. Top right = above average on both; bottom left = below average on both.
Tap a logo
to open the team. The table below has the same numbers; switch it to “All columns” for the dropback and rush splits.
Good offense
good defense
Bad offense
good defense
Bad offense
bad defense
Good offense
bad defense
-3.00-2.00-1.000.00+1.00+2.00+3.00+4.00+3.00+2.00+1.000.00-1.00-2.00-3.00-4.00Bears logoChiefs logoGiants logoPatriots logoJets logoChargers logoRaiders logoCardinals logoRams logoTexans logoFalcons logoPackers logo49ers logoCommanders logoColts logoCowboys logoEagles logoRavens logoSteelers logoDolphins logoTitans logo
Offense EPA per play →↑ Better defense · EPA allowed per play, lower is better

All 31 teams

Default order: net EPA per play (offense minus defense). Tap a column to sort. Overview columns: pick “All columns” above for the splits.
Sample: weeks 1–9 · 1–5 games per team · 67 offensive plays · source: nflverse play-by-play
#???
1Bears logoBears7-2+5.688+2.967-2.7201
2Chiefs logoChiefs6-2+5.530+1.909-3.6205
3Giants logoGiants5-2-1+3.650+3.316-0.3342
4Patriots logoPatriots5-4+3.091+1.405-1.6864
5Jets logoJets2-7+2.323+2.127-0.1971
6Chargers logoChargers0-8+2.318+1.441-0.8772
7Raiders logoRaiders4-5+2.316-1.188-3.5044
8Cardinals logoCardinals3-6+2.152+2.349+0.1971
9Rams logoRams5-4+1.474-0.389-1.8634
10Texans logoTexans3-5+0.662+2.058+1.3962
11Falcons logoFalcons3-6+0.379-0.978-1.3583
12Packers logoPackers6-3-0.292-0.038+0.2542
1349ers logo49ers7-1-0.652-0.991-0.3392
14Commanders logoCommanders2-5-1-1.058+3.328+4.3861
15Colts logoColts2-7-1.469+0.699+2.1683
16Cowboys logoCowboys4-5-1.526+1.786+3.3124
17Eagles logoEagles2-7-3.754-1.210+2.5444
18Ravens logoRavens4-5-4.285-3.240+1.0451
19Steelers logoSteelers6-2-4.554-0.326+4.2282
20Dolphins logoDolphins1-7-5.694-3.220+2.4741
21Titans logoTitans1-7-5.975-3.020+2.9551
22Bills logoBills7-1––+2.8860
23Panthers logoPanthers3-5–-1.952–5
24Bengals logoBengals6-2–+4.228–1
25Browns logoBrowns5-4–+2.098–1
26Broncos logoBroncos7-2––+4.0650
27Lions logoLions6-2–+1.723–4
28Jaguars logoJaguars6-2––-1.2490
29Saints logoSaints3-5–+4.377–1
30Seahawks logoSeahawks5-4––+2.3950
31Buccaneers logoBuccaneers3-6––-1.2030

EPA (expected points added) values each play by how much it changed the expected points of the drive, given down, distance, field position and time. Dropback EPA covers passes, sacks and scrambles; rush EPA covers designed runs only. Success rate counts plays with positive EPA. PROE is pass rate over expected: how often a team throws compared with what an average team would do in the same spot. Regular season only, two-point tries included as in the season totals. Home and away, score and last-4 filters apply from each team's side: a defense's “leading” plays are the ones its team led before the snap. The score before each snap comes from the ESPN play log. Source: nflverse play-by-play.