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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 10 · 2026Commanders 24 · 21 Giants

146 plays, one strand. Commanders won after 6 lead changes; Commanders peaked at 94% to win, Giants at 93%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for NYG, down for WSH, as long as the yards it gained.

Bottom line6 lead changes; Commanders peaked at 94% to win, Giants at 93%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Giants win, play by play. High = NYG in control, low = WSH in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for NYG on offense, down for WSH; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Giants ↑Commanders ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDTDTDFUMTDINTINTTDINTNYG ↑ HOMEWSH ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: WSH on the left, NYG on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
WSHNYG
64Plays63
342Yards400
6Explosive plays8
3Offensive TDs3
2Turnovers2
94%Peak win prob.93%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
NYGPunt38yWSHPunt17yNYGFG ✕43yWSHFG54yNYGPunt3yWSHPunt5yNYGTD68yWSHTD67yWSHPunt-12yNYGTD55yWSHTD77yNYGFUM53yWSHPunt3yNYGPunt36yWSH–49yNYGTD69yWSHINT36yNYGPunt9yWSHINT8yNYGPunt5yWSHTD38yNYGINT21y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.4 expected points for Giants.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 6:15 · NYG · Completion

    18-J.McCarthy pass short left to 44-C.Skattebo pushed ob at WAS 21 for 34 yards (20-Q.Martin) [92-D.Armstrong].

    +3.4 EP
  2. 2
    Q1 4:08 · NYG · Missed field goal

    34-D.Zvada 33 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-58-B.Mann, Holder-15-J.Stout.

    −3.3 EP
  3. 3
    Q3 7:05 · WSH · Touchdown

    5-J.Daniels pass short right to 14-A.Williams for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.6 EP
  4. 4
    Q3 4:14 · NYG · Fumble lost

    18-J.McCarthy pass short right to 1-M.Nabers to WAS 16 for 3 yards (4-F.Luvu). FUMBLES (4-F.Luvu), RECOVERED by WAS-39-J.Reaves at WAS 20.

    −4.5 EP
  5. 5
    Q4 9:09 · WSH · Incomplete

    5-J.Daniels pass incomplete short middle to 3-S.Diggs (24-A.Washington).

    −3.2 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 8:24 · NYG · Touchdown

    18-J.McCarthy pass deep middle to 9-I.Likely for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +6.5 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 5:31 · WSH · Interception

    5-J.Daniels pass deep left intended for 85-C.Okonkwo INTERCEPTED by 8-J.Holland at NYG 0. Touchback. The Replay Official reviewed the touchb

    −4.0 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 1:05 · WSH · Touchdown

    5-J.Daniels pass short middle to 3-S.Diggs for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +4.2 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.

If that interception had fallen incomplete

Giants after the play9%what really happened
GiantsCommandersthe rest never happened

Q4 0:34 18-J.McCarthy pass deep right intended for 1-M.Nabers INTERCEPTED by 29-R.Douglas at WAS 11. 29-R.Douglas to WAS 11 for no gain (1-M.Nabers).