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Expected points added per play · 2026 regular season · weeks 1–9 · at home · 1st quarter · two+ scores

The EPA map

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Small sample: the median team has 5 offensive plays in this view, so a few snaps move the rates a lot.

Bottom linePanthers have the best balance (+0.004 net per play). Best offense: Bengals (-0.002); stingiest defense: Panthers (-0.895 allowed). 0 of 7 teams are above average on both sides.

How to read this chart
One logo = one team.
Left to right is its offense: EPA per play, the expected points each snap adds. Further right = a better offense.
Bottom to top is its defense,
measured as EPA allowed per play. For a defense lower is better, so the scale is flipped: the higher a logo sits, the less its defense gives up.
The dashed lines
are the league average on each side. Top right = above average on both; bottom left = below average on both.
Tap a logo
to open the team. The table below has the same numbers; switch it to “All columns” for the dropback and rush splits.
Good offense
good defense
Bad offense
good defense
Bad offense
bad defense
Good offense
bad defense
-1.00-0.75-0.50-0.250.00+0.50+0.250.00-0.25-0.50-0.75-1.00Panthers logoBengals logoPatriots logoBrowns logo49ers logoBills logoFalcons logo
Offense EPA per play →↑ Better defense · EPA allowed per play, lower is better

All 17 teams

Default order: net EPA per play (offense minus defense). Tap a column to sort. Overview columns: pick “All columns” above for the splits.
Sample: weeks 1–9 · 1–3 games per team · 74 offensive plays, 92 defensive · source: nflverse play-by-play
#???
1Panthers logoPanthers3-5+0.004-0.890-0.8951
2Bengals logoBengals6-2-0.260-0.002+0.2581
3Patriots logoPatriots5-4-0.631-0.251+0.3801
4Browns logoBrowns5-4-0.697-0.453+0.2441
549ers logo49ers7-1-0.778-0.650+0.1281
6Bills logoBills7-1-0.883-1.076-0.1933
7Falcons logoFalcons3-6-1.040-0.513+0.5272
8Bears logoBears7-2––+0.4990
9Cowboys logoCowboys4-5––+0.7610
10Jaguars logoJaguars6-2––-1.0320
11Chiefs logoChiefs6-2––+0.1210
12Vikings logoVikings6-2–+0.042–1
13Saints logoSaints3-5–+1.427–1
14Giants logoGiants5-2-1–-0.396–1
15Buccaneers logoBuccaneers3-6–+1.213–1
16Titans logoTitans1-7––+1.0040
17Commanders logoCommanders2-5-1–-0.192–1

EPA (expected points added) values each play by how much it changed the expected points of the drive, given down, distance, field position and time. Dropback EPA covers passes, sacks and scrambles; rush EPA covers designed runs only. Success rate counts plays with positive EPA. PROE is pass rate over expected: how often a team throws compared with what an average team would do in the same spot. Regular season only, two-point tries included as in the season totals. Home and away, score and last-4 filters apply from each team's side: a defense's “leading” plays are the ones its team led before the snap. The score before each snap comes from the ESPN play log. Source: nflverse play-by-play.