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Expected points added per play · 2026 regular season · weeks 1–9 · 4th down · 4th quarter · leading

The EPA map

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Season
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Bottom lineBears have the best balance (+4.219 net per play). Best offense: Panthers (+3.329); stingiest defense: Bills (-1.565 allowed). 6 of 15 teams are above average on both sides.

How to read this chart
One logo = one team.
Left to right is its offense: EPA per play, the expected points each snap adds. Further right = a better offense.
Bottom to top is its defense,
measured as EPA allowed per play. For a defense lower is better, so the scale is flipped: the higher a logo sits, the less its defense gives up.
The dashed lines
are the league average on each side. Top right = above average on both; bottom left = below average on both.
Tap a logo
to open the team. The table below has the same numbers; switch it to “All columns” for the dropback and rush splits.
Good offense
good defense
Bad offense
good defense
Bad offense
bad defense
Good offense
bad defense
-5.00-4.00-3.00-2.00-1.000.00+1.00+2.00+3.00+5.00+4.00+3.00+2.00+1.000.00-1.00-2.00Bears logoPanthers logoBills logoVikings logoSteelers logoRams logoSeahawks logoLions logoBuccaneers logoBrowns logoPackers logoEagles logoDolphins logoRavens logoChargers logo
Offense EPA per play →↑ Better defense · EPA allowed per play, lower is better

All 32 teams

Default order: net EPA per play (offense minus defense). Tap a column to sort. Overview columns: pick “All columns” above for the splits.
Sample: weeks 1–9 · 1–2 games per team · 22 offensive plays, 135 defensive · source: nflverse play-by-play
#???
1Bears logoBears7-2+4.219+2.701-1.5182
2Panthers logoPanthers3-5+3.597+3.329-0.2691
3Bills logoBills7-1+3.413+1.848-1.5652
4Vikings logoVikings6-2+3.288+1.823-1.4652
5Steelers logoSteelers6-2+1.673+1.378-0.2951
6Rams logoRams5-4+0.656-0.716-1.3721
7Seahawks logoSeahawks5-4-0.644+0.437+1.0812
8Lions logoLions6-2-2.042-1.075+0.9672
9Buccaneers logoBuccaneers3-6-2.768-3.468-0.7002
10Browns logoBrowns5-4-3.016-3.264-0.2482
11Packers logoPackers6-3-3.142-4.352-1.2091
12Eagles logoEagles2-7-3.596-2.913+0.6821
13Dolphins logoDolphins1-7-3.698+1.374+5.0731
14Ravens logoRavens4-5-5.168-4.501+0.6671
15Chargers logoChargers0-8-8.271-3.913+4.3571
16Cardinals logoCardinals3-6––-1.9470
17Falcons logoFalcons3-6––+1.1590
18Bengals logoBengals6-2––-2.9160
19Cowboys logoCowboys4-5––-0.8530
20Broncos logoBroncos7-2––+0.2240
21Texans logoTexans3-5––-0.1950
22Colts logoColts2-7––-0.7210
23Jaguars logoJaguars6-2––-1.7640
24Chiefs logoChiefs6-2––-0.7490
25Raiders logoRaiders4-5––-3.5690
26Patriots logoPatriots5-4––+1.5980
27Saints logoSaints3-5––-2.5790
28Giants logoGiants5-2-1––-2.9980
29Jets logoJets2-7––-3.1330
3049ers logo49ers7-1––-0.2660
31Titans logoTitans1-7––-1.7620
32Commanders logoCommanders2-5-1––+0.6700

EPA (expected points added) values each play by how much it changed the expected points of the drive, given down, distance, field position and time. Dropback EPA covers passes, sacks and scrambles; rush EPA covers designed runs only. Success rate counts plays with positive EPA. PROE is pass rate over expected: how often a team throws compared with what an average team would do in the same spot. Regular season only, two-point tries included as in the season totals. Home and away, score and last-4 filters apply from each team's side: a defense's “leading” plays are the ones its team led before the snap. The score before each snap comes from the ESPN play log. Source: nflverse play-by-play.