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Expected points added per play · 2026 regular season · weeks 1–9 · 4th down · 3rd quarter · leading

The EPA map

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Season
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Bottom linePackers have the best balance (+2.244 net per play). Best offense: Packers (+3.575); stingiest defense: Patriots (-1.686 allowed). 0 of 7 teams are above average on both sides.

How to read this chart
One logo = one team.
Left to right is its offense: EPA per play, the expected points each snap adds. Further right = a better offense.
Bottom to top is its defense,
measured as EPA allowed per play. For a defense lower is better, so the scale is flipped: the higher a logo sits, the less its defense gives up.
The dashed lines
are the league average on each side. Top right = above average on both; bottom left = below average on both.
Tap a logo
to open the team. The table below has the same numbers; switch it to “All columns” for the dropback and rush splits.
Good offense
good defense
Bad offense
good defense
Bad offense
bad defense
Good offense
bad defense
-3.00-2.00-1.000.00+1.00+2.00+3.00+3.00+2.00+1.000.00-1.00-2.00Packers logoColts logoCowboys logoPatriots logo49ers logoFalcons logoEagles logo
Offense EPA per play →↑ Better defense · EPA allowed per play, lower is better

All 25 teams

Default order: net EPA per play (offense minus defense). Tap a column to sort. Overview columns: pick “All columns” above for the splits.
Sample: weeks 1–9 · 1–3 games per team · 20 offensive plays, 44 defensive · source: nflverse play-by-play
#???
1Packers logoPackers6-3+2.244+3.575+1.3301
2Colts logoColts2-7+0.471+2.646+2.1762
3Cowboys logoCowboys4-5-0.755+2.295+3.0501
4Patriots logoPatriots5-4-0.861-2.548-1.6861
549ers logo49ers7-1-3.165-3.504-0.3391
6Falcons logoFalcons3-6-3.177-2.814+0.3631
7Eagles logoEagles2-7-5.154-2.783+2.3702
8Cardinals logoCardinals3-6––-4.0000
9Ravens logoRavens4-5––+2.9750
10Bills logoBills7-1––+2.8860
11Panthers logoPanthers3-5–-0.231–2
12Bears logoBears7-2––-2.7200
13Lions logoLions6-2–+0.864–3
14Texans logoTexans3-5––+0.9250
15Jaguars logoJaguars6-2––-0.9460
16Chiefs logoChiefs6-2–+1.595–3
17Rams logoRams5-4––-1.3490
18Chargers logoChargers0-8––+2.2230
19Raiders logoRaiders4-5–-3.620–1
20Dolphins logoDolphins1-7––+2.0770
21Giants logoGiants5-2-1––-3.0200
22Steelers logoSteelers6-2–-0.326–2
23Seahawks logoSeahawks5-4––+2.3950
24Buccaneers logoBuccaneers3-6––-1.2030
25Commanders logoCommanders2-5-1––+4.3860

EPA (expected points added) values each play by how much it changed the expected points of the drive, given down, distance, field position and time. Dropback EPA covers passes, sacks and scrambles; rush EPA covers designed runs only. Success rate counts plays with positive EPA. PROE is pass rate over expected: how often a team throws compared with what an average team would do in the same spot. Regular season only, two-point tries included as in the season totals. Home and away, score and last-4 filters apply from each team's side: a defense's “leading” plays are the ones its team led before the snap. The score before each snap comes from the ESPN play log. Source: nflverse play-by-play.