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2026 season · box score + nflverse play-by-play

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Player one
Michael Penix Jr.QB · ATL
Player two
Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI
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Michael Penix Jr.QB · ATLCaleb WilliamsQB · CHI
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Michael Penix Jr.
Falcons logoAtlanta Falcons

Michael Penix Jr.

QBpos#9jersey26age6'3"height220lbs3seasons

Washington · 2024 draft, round 1, pick 8

VS2of 8 shown metrics led6
Caleb Williams
Bears logoChicago Bears

Caleb Williams

QBpos#18jersey24age6'1"height226lbs3seasons

USC · 2024 draft, round 1, pick 1

Across the 8 shown metrics with numbers for at least two players (2026 season, per game): Williams leads in 6 and Penix Jr. leads in 2. A count of who is ahead, not a verdict: the metrics overlap and do not weigh the same.

Usage

Penix Jr.Williams

Percentile chips: vs 34 QBs who played half the games, 2026 season

+1.2049thTotal EPA per game+6.2572nd

Passing

Penix Jr.Williams

Percentile chips: vs 35 QBs who have 12+ dropbacks a week, 2026 season

206.336thPass yards per game257.776th
1.451stTouchdowns per game1.346th
0.924thInterceptions per game · lower is better0.827th
+0.02550thEPA per dropback+0.19481st
-4.016thCPOE · completion % over expected+6.490th
4.1%81stSack rate · lower is better6.2%56th

Rushing

Penix Jr.Williams
9.3Rush yards per game24.2
Advanced metrics14 more · tap to open

Usage

7Games with stats6
99.3%78thSnap share · average share of team snaps in the games he played97.7%44th
31.722ndPlays with EPA per game39.275th

Passing

62.3%33rdCompletion %68.7%87th
7.361stYards per attempt7.979th
45.4%47thSuccess rate50.7%84th
7.327thaDOT · average depth of target8.059th

Rushing

2.9Carries per game · official rush attempts5.2
0.6Designed runs in EPA per game · QB scrambles count as dropbacks, kneels are left out1.3
3.3Yards per carry4.7
0.0Rush TD per game0.3
50.0%Success rate25.0%

Advanced rows are not part of the “metrics led” count. Pick exactly what you want under “Choose”.

Total EPA by week (bars) and running total (lines)Michael Penix Jr.Caleb Williams
●Wk 1●Wk 2●Wk 3●Wk 4●Wk 5●Wk 6●Wk 7●Wk 8●Wk 9

Expected points added across every role (passing, rushing, receiving) in the nflverse play-by-play model, in the period you picked. Lines run the total; a missing bar is a week without plays. The dot marks the best week among the 2 players.

Matchups to start with

top passers · most targeted

Box score totals from ESPN (regular season and playoffs; “last 4” is each player's four most recent games with a box score line). EPA, success rate, CPOE, aDOT, target and air-yard share from the nflverse play-by-play over the same games; snap share from nflverse snap counts. EPA per dropback includes sacks and scrambles. Carries are the official ESPN rush attempts; EPA per designed run leaves out quarterback scrambles (they count as dropbacks) and kneel-downs, so for a quarterback the two counts differ. Per opportunity divides counting stats by nflverse dropbacks (passing), ESPN targets (receiving) and ESPN carries (rushing); other counts go per game. Percentiles rank each value among players at the same position with enough volume in the same period (the same groups as the player cards: QBs 12 dropbacks a week, RBs 4.5 carries, wide receivers 2.5 targets, tight ends 2, defenders half the games; fewer than 8 peers, no percentile). The bars compare the players on the page only, not the league.