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2026 season · box score + nflverse play-by-play

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Player one
Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI
Player two
Justin HerbertQB · LAC
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Caleb WilliamsQB · CHIJustin HerbertQB · LAC
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Caleb Williams
Bears logoChicago Bears

Caleb Williams

QBpos#18jersey24age6'1"height226lbs3seasons

USC · 2024 draft, round 1, pick 1

VS7of 8 shown metrics led1
Justin Herbert
Chargers logoLos Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert

QBpos#10jersey28age6'6"height236lbs7seasons

Oregon · 2020 draft, round 1, pick 6

Questionable · Finger

Across the 8 shown metrics with numbers for at least two players (2026 season, per opportunity): Williams leads in 7 and Herbert leads in 1. A count of who is ahead, not a verdict: the metrics overlap and do not weigh the same.

Usage

WilliamsHerbert

Percentile chips: vs 34 QBs who played half the games, 2026 season

+6.25472ndTotal EPA per game-9.3091st

Passing

WilliamsHerbert

Percentile chips: vs 35 QBs who have 12+ dropbacks a week, 2026 season

6.8167thPass yards per dropback5.5227th
0.03536thTouchdowns per dropback0.02110th
0.02233rdInterceptions per dropback · lower is better0.0384th
+0.19481stEPA per dropback-0.2524th
+6.490thCPOE · completion % over expected-4.97th
6.2%56thSack rate · lower is better10.8%1st

Rushing

WilliamsHerbert
4.68Rush yards per carry5.59
Advanced metrics14 more · tap to open

Usage

6Games with stats8
97.7%44thSnap share · average share of team snaps in the games he played97.4%40th
39.275thPlays with EPA per game37.451st

Passing

68.7%87thCompletion %61.3%30th
7.979thYards per attempt6.841st
50.7%84thSuccess rate35.4%1st
8.059thaDOT · average depth of target7.856th

Rushing

5.2Carries per game · official rush attempts4.3
1.3Designed runs in EPA per game · QB scrambles count as dropbacks, kneels are left out1.3
4.7Yards per carry5.6
0.065Rush TD per carry0.000
25.0%Success rate50.0%

Advanced rows are not part of the “metrics led” count. Pick exactly what you want under “Choose”.

Total EPA by week (bars) and running total (lines)Caleb WilliamsJustin Herbert
●Wk 1●Wk 2●Wk 3●Wk 4●Wk 5●Wk 6●Wk 7●Wk 8●Wk 9

Expected points added across every role (passing, rushing, receiving) in the nflverse play-by-play model, in the period you picked. Lines run the total; a missing bar is a week without plays. The dot marks the best week among the 2 players.

Matchups to start with

top passers · most targeted

Box score totals from ESPN (regular season and playoffs; “last 4” is each player's four most recent games with a box score line). EPA, success rate, CPOE, aDOT, target and air-yard share from the nflverse play-by-play over the same games; snap share from nflverse snap counts. EPA per dropback includes sacks and scrambles. Carries are the official ESPN rush attempts; EPA per designed run leaves out quarterback scrambles (they count as dropbacks) and kneel-downs, so for a quarterback the two counts differ. Per opportunity divides counting stats by nflverse dropbacks (passing), ESPN targets (receiving) and ESPN carries (rushing); other counts go per game. Percentiles rank each value among players at the same position with enough volume in the same period (the same groups as the player cards: QBs 12 dropbacks a week, RBs 4.5 carries, wide receivers 2.5 targets, tight ends 2, defenders half the games; fewer than 8 peers, no percentile). The bars compare the players on the page only, not the league.