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2026 season · box score + nflverse play-by-play

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Player one
Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI
Player two
J.J. McCarthyQB · NYG
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Caleb WilliamsQB · CHIJ.J. McCarthyQB · NYG
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Caleb Williams
Bears logoChicago Bears

Caleb Williams

QBpos#18jersey24age6'1"height226lbs3seasons

USC · 2024 draft, round 1, pick 1

VS5of 8 shown metrics led3
J.J. McCarthy
Giants logoNew York Giants

J.J. McCarthy

QBpos#18jersey23age6'3"height219lbs3seasons

Michigan · 2024 draft, round 1, pick 10

Questionable

Across the 8 shown metrics with numbers for at least two players (2026 season, per opportunity): Williams leads in 5 and McCarthy leads in 3. A count of who is ahead, not a verdict: the metrics overlap and do not weigh the same.

Usage

WilliamsMcCarthy

Percentile chips: vs 34 QBs who played half the games, 2026 season

+6.25472ndTotal EPA per game+2.079

Passing

WilliamsMcCarthy

Percentile chips: vs 35 QBs who have 12+ dropbacks a week, 2026 season

6.8167thPass yards per dropback8.08
0.03536thTouchdowns per dropback0.013
0.02233rdInterceptions per dropback · lower is better0.013
+0.19481stEPA per dropback+0.173
+6.490thCPOE · completion % over expected+5.3
6.2%56thSack rate · lower is better11.7%

Rushing

WilliamsMcCarthy
4.68Rush yards per carry5.67
Advanced metrics14 more · tap to open

Usage

6Games with stats4
97.7%44thSnap share · average share of team snaps in the games he played53.5%
39.275thPlays with EPA per game20.5

Passing

68.7%87thCompletion %63.2%
7.979thYards per attempt9.1
50.7%84thSuccess rate39.0%
8.059thaDOT · average depth of target11.5

Rushing

5.2Carries per game · official rush attempts2.3
1.3Designed runs in EPA per game · QB scrambles count as dropbacks, kneels are left out1.3
4.7Yards per carry5.7
0.065Rush TD per carry0.000
-0.802EPA per designed run-1.004
25.0%Success rate0.0%
0.03210+ yard runs per carry0.000

Advanced rows are not part of the “metrics led” count. Pick exactly what you want under “Choose”.

Total EPA by week (bars) and running total (lines)Caleb WilliamsJ.J. McCarthy
●Wk 1●Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4●Wk 5●Wk 6●Wk 7●Wk 8●Wk 9

Expected points added across every role (passing, rushing, receiving) in the nflverse play-by-play model, in the period you picked. Lines run the total; a missing bar is a week without plays. The dot marks the best week among the 2 players.

Matchups to start with

top passers · most targeted
Brock Purdy vs Trevor LawrenceJoe Burrow vs Josh AllenJared Goff vs Caleb WilliamsC.J. Stroud vs Jordan LoveCeeDee Lamb vs Jaxon Smith-NjigbaMatthew Golden vs Puka NacuaMichael Wilson vs Amon-Ra St. BrownChris Olave vs Malik Nabers

Box score totals from ESPN (regular season and playoffs; “last 4” is each player's four most recent games with a box score line). EPA, success rate, CPOE, aDOT, target and air-yard share from the nflverse play-by-play over the same games; snap share from nflverse snap counts. EPA per dropback includes sacks and scrambles. Carries are the official ESPN rush attempts; EPA per designed run leaves out quarterback scrambles (they count as dropbacks) and kneel-downs, so for a quarterback the two counts differ. Per opportunity divides counting stats by nflverse dropbacks (passing), ESPN targets (receiving) and ESPN carries (rushing); other counts go per game. Percentiles rank each value among players at the same position with enough volume in the same period (the same groups as the player cards: QBs 12 dropbacks a week, RBs 4.5 carries, wide receivers 2.5 targets, tight ends 2, defenders half the games; fewer than 8 peers, no percentile). The bars compare the players on the page only, not the league.