Pigskin NightlyWeek 10
Latest
WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
Expected points added per play · 2026 regular season · last 4 games per team · 1st quarter · two+ scores

The EPA map

Span
Season
Reset all

Small sample: the median team has 8 offensive plays in this view, so a few snaps move the rates a lot.

Bottom lineRavens have the best balance (+1.464 net per play). Best offense: Packers (+0.380); stingiest defense: Ravens (-1.295 allowed). 3 of 11 teams are above average on both sides.

How to read this chart
One logo = one team.
Left to right is its offense: EPA per play, the expected points each snap adds. Further right = a better offense.
Bottom to top is its defense,
measured as EPA allowed per play. For a defense lower is better, so the scale is flipped: the higher a logo sits, the less its defense gives up.
The dashed lines
are the league average on each side. Top right = above average on both; bottom left = below average on both.
Tap a logo
to open the team. The table below has the same numbers; switch it to “All columns” for the dropback and rush splits.
Good offense
good defense
Bad offense
good defense
Bad offense
bad defense
Good offense
bad defense
-5.00-4.00-3.00-2.00-1.000.00+0.500.00-0.50-1.00-1.50Ravens logoPackers logoCommanders logoBrowns logoPanthers logoBroncos logoBengals logoTitans logoPatriots logo49ers logoBills logo
Offense EPA per play →↑ Better defense · EPA allowed per play, lower is better

All 18 teams

Default order: net EPA per play (offense minus defense). Tap a column to sort. Overview columns: pick “All columns” above for the splits.
Sample: weeks 6–9 · 1–2 games per team · 106 offensive plays · source: nflverse play-by-play
#???
1Ravens logoRavens4-5+1.464+0.170-1.2952
2Packers logoPackers6-3+0.631+0.380-0.2511
3Commanders logoCommanders2-5-1+0.415-0.235-0.6502
4Browns logoBrowns5-4+0.098+0.341+0.2442
5Panthers logoPanthers3-5+0.004-0.890-0.8951
6Broncos logoBroncos7-2-0.004-0.895-0.8901
7Bengals logoBengals6-2-0.167-0.002+0.1651
8Titans logoTitans1-7-0.235+0.165+0.4001
9Patriots logoPatriots5-4-0.430-0.050+0.3802
1049ers logo49ers7-1-0.778-0.650+0.1281
11Bills logoBills7-1-5.626-5.500+0.1251
12Falcons logoFalcons3-6–-0.633–1
13Bears logoBears7-2––+0.3480
14Chiefs logoChiefs6-2––+0.1210
15Chargers logoChargers0-8–+0.121–1
16Raiders logoRaiders4-5–+0.589–1
17Eagles logoEagles2-7––-0.1920
18Buccaneers logoBuccaneers3-6–+0.504–1

EPA (expected points added) values each play by how much it changed the expected points of the drive, given down, distance, field position and time. Dropback EPA covers passes, sacks and scrambles; rush EPA covers designed runs only. Success rate counts plays with positive EPA. PROE is pass rate over expected: how often a team throws compared with what an average team would do in the same spot. Regular season only, two-point tries included as in the season totals. Home and away, score and last-4 filters apply from each team's side: a defense's “leading” plays are the ones its team led before the snap. The score before each snap comes from the ESPN play log. Source: nflverse play-by-play.