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2026 season · box score + nflverse play-by-play

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Player one
Dalton KincaidTE · BUF
Player two
Isaiah LikelyTE · NYG
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Dalton KincaidTE · BUFIsaiah LikelyTE · NYG
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Metrics14/14
Usage
Receiving
Dalton Kincaid
Bills logoBuffalo Bills

Dalton Kincaid

TEpos#86jersey27age6'3"height246lbs4seasons

Utah · 2023 draft, round 1, pick 25

VS2of 8 shown metrics led6
Isaiah Likely
Giants logoNew York Giants

Isaiah Likely

TEpos#9jersey26age6'4"height241lbs5seasons

Coastal Carolina · 2022 draft, round 4, pick 139

Across the 8 shown metrics with numbers for at least two players (2026 season): Likely leads in 6 and Kincaid leads in 2. A count of who is ahead, not a verdict: the metrics overlap and do not weigh the same.

Usage

KincaidLikely

Percentile chips: vs 75 TEs who played half the games, 2026 season

64.1%66thSnap share · average share of team snaps in the games he played75.0%81st

Receiving

KincaidLikely

Percentile chips: vs 42 TEs who have 2.5+ targets a week (tight ends 2+), 2026 season

3856thTargets6994th
3060thReceptions4694th
42985thReceiving yards44887th
250thReceiving TD696th
17.3%65thTarget share · of team targets in his games26.6%94th
+0.52687thEPA per target+0.26058th
5.973rdYAC per catch3.315th
Advanced metrics6 more · tap to open

Usage

8Games with stats8
3976thPlays with EPA7097th
+20.591stTotal EPA+18.289th

Receiving

78.9%87thCatch rate66.7%24th
17.5%82ndAir yards share20.9%89th
9.492ndaDOT7.677th

Advanced rows are not part of the “metrics led” count. Pick exactly what you want under “Choose”.

Total EPA by week (bars) and running total (lines)Dalton KincaidIsaiah Likely
●Wk 1●Wk 2●Wk 3●Wk 4●Wk 5●Wk 6●Wk 7●Wk 8●Wk 9

Expected points added across every role (passing, rushing, receiving) in the nflverse play-by-play model, in the period you picked. Lines run the total; a missing bar is a week without plays. The dot marks the best week among the 2 players.

Matchups to start with

top passers · most targeted

Box score totals from ESPN (regular season and playoffs; “last 4” is each player's four most recent games with a box score line). EPA, success rate, CPOE, aDOT, target and air-yard share from the nflverse play-by-play over the same games; snap share from nflverse snap counts. EPA per dropback includes sacks and scrambles. Carries are the official ESPN rush attempts; EPA per designed run leaves out quarterback scrambles (they count as dropbacks) and kneel-downs, so for a quarterback the two counts differ. Per opportunity divides counting stats by nflverse dropbacks (passing), ESPN targets (receiving) and ESPN carries (rushing); other counts go per game. Percentiles rank each value among players at the same position with enough volume in the same period (the same groups as the player cards: QBs 12 dropbacks a week, RBs 4.5 carries, wide receivers 2.5 targets, tight ends 2, defenders half the games; fewer than 8 peers, no percentile). The bars compare the players on the page only, not the league.