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Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI
Michael Penix Jr.QB · ATL
Chicago BearsCaleb Williams
USC · 2024 draft, round 1, pick 1
Atlanta FalconsMichael Penix Jr.
Washington · 2024 draft, round 1, pick 8
Across the 8 shown metrics with numbers for at least two players (last 4 games): Williams leads in 5 and Penix Jr. leads in 3. A count of who is ahead, not a verdict: the metrics overlap and do not weigh the same.
Usage
WilliamsPenix Jr.Percentile chips: vs 50 QBs who played half the games, last 4 games
Passing
WilliamsPenix Jr.Percentile chips: vs 42 QBs who have 12+ dropbacks a week, last 4 games
Rushing
WilliamsPenix Jr.Advanced metrics14 more · tap to open
Usage
Passing
Rushing
Advanced rows are not part of the “metrics led” count. Pick exactly what you want under “Choose”.
Expected points added across every role (passing, rushing, receiving) in the nflverse play-by-play model, in the period you picked. Lines run the total; a missing bar is a week without plays. The dot marks the best week among the 2 players.
Matchups to start with
top passers · most targetedBox score totals from ESPN (regular season and playoffs; “last 4” is each player's four most recent games with a box score line). EPA, success rate, CPOE, aDOT, target and air-yard share from the nflverse play-by-play over the same games; snap share from nflverse snap counts. EPA per dropback includes sacks and scrambles. Carries are the official ESPN rush attempts; EPA per designed run leaves out quarterback scrambles (they count as dropbacks) and kneel-downs, so for a quarterback the two counts differ. Per opportunity divides counting stats by nflverse dropbacks (passing), ESPN targets (receiving) and ESPN carries (rushing); other counts go per game. Percentiles rank each value among players at the same position with enough volume in the same period (the same groups as the player cards: QBs 12 dropbacks a week, RBs 4.5 carries, wide receivers 2.5 targets, tight ends 2, defenders half the games; fewer than 8 peers, no percentile). The bars compare the players on the page only, not the league.